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The Opening of Temporal Lock Boxes & the Results!

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  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    I did 40 more and it gets kinda crappy

    191)Standard duty pack and 4 lobi
    192)polarized disruptor and 4 lobi
    193)gamma pack and 4 lobi
    194)Standard duty pack and 4 lobi
    195)Standard duty pack and 4 lobi
    196)Temporal beacon and 5 lobi
    197)100 fleet marks bonus and 5 lobi
    198)gamma pack and 7 lobi
    199)5000 fleet credit and 4 lobi
    200)5000 fleet credit and 4 lobi


    201)gamma pack and 4 lobi
    202)Standard duty pack and 5 lobi
    203)gamma pack and 4 lobi
    204)Standard duty pack and 4 lobi
    205)Standard duty pack and 7 lobi
    206)gamma pack and 4 lobi
    207)gamma pack and 4 lobi
    208)Standard duty pack and 4 lobi
    209)gamma pack and 4 lobi
    210)Deep space sci vessel and 5 lobi

    the next 20 are about as crappy and i will post in a few minutes
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    I will post the rest of the results in a few more minutes

    I openned up 245 boxes and got no Temporal ship

    I stopped at 245 because it gave me a total of 1602 lobi(221 from last lock box that was never used) and I bought 2 Temporal Destroyers

    the last 40 boxes opened the about of Lobi given seemed to drop off a lot - perhaps they already have given out so much by the shear mass of boxes I hear are being opened that they made some internal adjustments to the odds - don't know - but Cryptic does not post the odds and will also not confirm if they make adjustments to these odds during the event(or not that i have read) By looking at the exchange there are already dozens and dozens of temporal destroyers up for sale so at 800 each I would say lots and lots of lobi was given out.
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    211)Polarized disruptor and 4 lobi
    212)100 fleet marks bonus and 4 lobi
    213)gamma duty pack and 4 lobi
    214)100 fleet marks bonus and 4 lobi
    215)temporal beacon and 5 lobi
    216)temporal beacon and 4 lobi
    217)recon sci vessel and 4 lobi
    218)gamma duty pack and 4 lobi
    219)standard duty pack and 5 lobi
    220)polarized disruptor and 4 lobi


    221)Polarized disruptor and 4 lobi
    222)Standard duty pack and 4 lobi
    223)Polarized disruptor and 4 lobi
    224)Polarized disruptor and 4 lobi
    225)Polarized disruptor and 5 lobi
    226)Gamma duty pack and 5 lobi
    227) 100 Fleet mark and 4 lobi
    228)Gamma duty pack and 5 lobi
    229)temporal beacon and 7 lobi
    230)Standard duty pack and 4 lobi
  • venkintovenkinto Member Posts: 21 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Bleh! These new lock box rewards look like TRIBBLE!
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    last set of numbers and I am just tired out from this.

    231)polarized disruptor and 4 lobi
    232)100 fleet mark bonus and 4 lobi
    233)polarized disruptor and 4 lobi
    234)Temporal Beacon and 4 lobi
    235)polarized disruptor and 4 lobi
    236)Recon vessel and 5 lobi
    237)5000 fleet credit and 5 lobi
    238)polarized disruptor and 7 lobi
    239)Deep space vessel and 7 lobi
    240)recon vessel and 7 lobi
    241)Standard duty pack and 4 lobi
    242)temporal beacon and 7 lobi
    243)polarized disruptor and 5 lobi
    244)Standard duty pack and 5 lobi
    245)5000 fleet credit and 4 lobi


    Wow what a throughly tiring day - I hope you all learned as much about this lock box as I did!!

    Cheers
  • ccarmichael07ccarmichael07 Member Posts: 755 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Holy Cow!

    The Vegas casinos would LOVE to swing odds like this. But, they are regulated so you actually have a mathematical chance to win.


    "You shoot him, I shoot you, I leave both your bodies here and go out for a late night snack.
    I'm thinking maybe pancakes." ~ John Casey
  • venkintovenkinto Member Posts: 21 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Many thanks for your time and efforts today levi3. You saved me a lot of $ and frustration!
  • malkarrismalkarris Member Posts: 797 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Thanks levi3. Here's the final breakdown then.

    18 500 Fleet Credit boost
    60 Standard DOFF packs
    12 Temporal DOFF packs
    32 Temporal Beacons
    42 Polarized Disruptor weapons
    46 Gamma Duty Officers
    13 100 Fleet Mark Boosts
    6 Mirror Universe Recon Sci Ships
    9 Mirror Univer DSSV ships
    7 Isometric/Antimatter console boxes
    0 Temporal ships

    And a total of 1380 Lobi or 5.6 Lobe per box on average.

    So in short, sell keys and wait for someone else to get the ship and put it up on the exchange.
    Joined September 2011
    Nouveau riche LTS member
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    venkinto wrote: »
    Many thanks for your time and efforts today levi3. You saved me a lot of $ and frustration!

    I aim to please - there are 2 things i want:

    1) Cryptic to make enough money to keep this game going and being made better, and

    2) Players to feel like they really love the game.

    Unfortunatly sometimes both are not compatible.
  • lordhooklordhook Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    venkinto wrote: »
    Many thanks for your time and efforts today levi3. You saved me a lot of $ and frustration!

    Yes! More lock boxes to throw away. We should do a contest to see who discard more boxes :P
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    lordhook wrote: »
    Yes! More lock boxes to throw away. We should do a contest to see who discard more boxes :P

    Well the funny thing is that since the box was announce until about 2 pm today the Forums were busting at the seams with activity- now it's a ghost town - the change in just a few hours is astonishing!
  • darkwhite0darkwhite0 Member Posts: 158 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    look this:

    245 Master Key

    1 Master Key = 1.500.000 (exchange (27-09-2012))

    245 * 1.500.000 = 367.500.000

    :D:D:D:D
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    darkwhite0 wrote: »
    look this:

    245 Master Key

    1 Master Key = 1.500.000 (exchange (27-09-2012))

    245 * 1.500.000 = 367.500.000

    I have spent double that building my solo T3 starbase:( - both in EC spent and opportunity costs(ie contributing 1300 security doffs vs selling@ 200k each - that being just security doffs!!)
  • rachelgarrettrachelgarrett Member Posts: 52 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Analysis based on 245 Boxes
    • Temporal Science Vessel Starship: 0, 0%, - Zen
    • Cross-Faction Starship Console: 7, 3%, ~3938 Zen
    • Mirror Universe Ship Pack Recon: 6, 2%, ~4594 Zen
    • Mirror Universe Ship Pack Deep Space: 9, 4%, ~3062 Zen
    • Temporal Duty Officers: 13, 5%, ~2120 Zen
    • Fleet Mark Bonus Pool: 13, 5%, ~2120 Zen
    • Fleet Credit Bonus Pool: 18, 7%, ~1531 Zen
    • Temporal Beacon Storage Device: 31, 13%, ~889Zen
    • Polarized Disruptor Weapon Pack: 42, 17%, ~656 Zen
    • Gamma Quadrant Duty Officer Mini-Pack: 46, 19%, ~599 Zen
    • Standard Duty Officer Mini-Pack: 60, 24%, ~459Zen
    • Average Lobi per Box: 5.6, ~20 Zen

    Regards,
    Rachel

    Please note that Zen prices are approximate cost per item, ignoring the worth of Lobi Crystals.
  • v0850v0850 Member Posts: 11 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Analysis based on 245 Boxes
    • Temporal Science Vessel Starship: 0, 0%, - Zen
    • Cross-Faction Starship Console: 7, 3%, ~3938 Zen
    • Mirror Universe Ship Pack Recon: 6, 2%, ~4594 Zen
    • Mirror Universe Ship Pack Deep Space: 9, 4%, ~3062 Zen
    • Temporal Duty Officers: 13, 5%, ~2120 Zen
    • Fleet Mark Bonus Pool: 13, 5%, ~2120 Zen
    • Fleet Credit Bonus Pool: 18, 7%, ~1531 Zen
    • Temporal Beacon Storage Device: 31, 13%, ~889Zen
    • Polarized Disruptor Weapon Pack: 42, 17%, ~656 Zen
    • Gamma Quadrant Duty Officer Mini-Pack: 46, 19%, ~599 Zen
    • Standard Duty Officer Mini-Pack: 60, 24%, ~459Zen
    • Average Lobi per Box: 5.6, ~20 Zen

    [..]

    How you came to such big Zen Values ?

    The mirror ships are about 0,5M EC on exchange for example.
    If you buy the normal ones at the Shipyard, with exchange from Zen to Dil its a maximum of 625Zen.

    Also the doff packs, I think the reinforcment doffpack with the chance for tuffli is 259Zen.
    Ones with no chance for any better than some doffs is 220k EC (and price heavy falling) on exchange (from doffgrinder general for free ;).

    Regards :)
  • ryanevryanev Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Wow 250 boxes and no Ship? that's unlucky.
    I had similar luck with the tholian one. Ended up buying the ship for 40M EC

    This one:
    opened 70 (Woudn't have opened any, but needed some loby for the new set so I didn't open them for the ship)
    Got the ship on my 20th or so box. the rest were 3 Temporal Doffs 1 Console 1 MU ship, 1 Fleet Mark Bonus 13 of the Temporal Doff Assignment Devices. The rest were packs and stuff.

    Sold the ship on the Exchange. Will buy it again in 2-3 months when the prices drop.
  • v0850v0850 Member Posts: 11 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    The Ship or the (very rare) Time Doff pack is the only win situation when opening boxes :rolleyes:
  • rachelgarrettrachelgarrett Member Posts: 52 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    v0850 wrote: »
    How you came to such big Zen Values ?

    The mirror ships are about 0,5M EC on exchange for example.
    If you buy the normal ones at the Shipyard, with exchange from Zen to Dil its a maximum of 625Zen.

    Also the doff packs, I think the reinforcment doffpack with the chance for tuffli is 259Zen.
    Ones with no chance for any better than some doffs is 220k EC (and price heavy falling) on exchange (from doffgrinder general for free ;).

    Regards :)

    The Math is simple: the reciprocal of a percentage is the number of boxes you need to open on average to obtain the given item. Let's say the Console is at 2,9%, i.e. every 35th box contains a console. So on average you will burn through 35 keys or 35 * 1125 = 3938 Zen.

    Yes, you will get some other stuff along the way, but if you are only interested in the Console, that's the price you have to pay. Of course, you can also look at it from the pov, that each item costs 112,5 Zen, (one key), but that wouldn't be honest IMO.

    Regards,
    Rachel
  • rachelgarrettrachelgarrett Member Posts: 52 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    v0850 wrote: »
    How you came to such big Zen Values ?

    The mirror ships are about 0,5M EC on exchange for example.
    If you buy the normal ones at the Shipyard, with exchange from Zen to Dil its a maximum of 625Zen.

    Also the doff packs, I think the reinforcment doffpack with the chance for tuffli is 259Zen.
    Ones with no chance for any better than some doffs is 220k EC (and price heavy falling) on exchange (from doffgrinder general for free ;).

    Regards :)

    The following Table of costs takes into consideration that you would actually want and need everything that you get from opening the boxes (including each and every common DOff or single Loby Crystal). The prices are normalized, so that adding them up weighted by chance, would yield 112,5 Zen:

    Analysis based on 245 Boxes
    • Temporal Science Vessel Starship: ~1523 Zen
    • Cross-Faction Starship Console: ~328 Zen
    • Mirror Universe Ship Pack Recon: ~255 Zen
    • Mirror Universe Ship Pack Deep Space: ~383 Zen
    • Temporal Duty Officers: ~177 Zen
    • Fleet Mark Bonus Pool: ~177 Zen
    • Fleet Credit Bonus Pool: ~128 Zen
    • Temporal Beacon Storage Device: ~74 Zen
    • Polarized Disruptor Weapon Pack: ~55 Zen
    • Gamma Quadrant Duty Officer Mini-Pack: ~50 Zen
    • Standard Duty Officer Mini-Pack: ~38 Zen
    • 1 Loby Crystal: ~1.7 Zen
    Again, this table only reflects the individual value of each item, if you actually want and use EVERYTHING the box gives you and don't throw items away in search for something better.

    However, if you are after one specific item and don't care about the rest, the following table is for you:
    Analysis based on 245 Boxes
    • Temporal Science Vessel Starship: ~18281 Zen
    • Cross-Faction Starship Console: ~3938 Zen
    • Mirror Universe Ship Pack Recon: ~4594 Zen
    • Mirror Universe Ship Pack Deep Space: ~3062 Zen
    • Temporal Duty Officers: ~2120 Zen
    • Fleet Mark Bonus Pool: ~2120 Zen
    • Fleet Credit Bonus Pool: ~1531 Zen
    • Temporal Beacon Storage Device: ~889Zen
    • Polarized Disruptor Weapon Pack: ~656 Zen
    • Gamma Quadrant Duty Officer Mini-Pack: ~599 Zen
    • Standard Duty Officer Mini-Pack: ~459Zen
    • Average Lobi (5.6) per Box: ~20 Zen

    Regards,
    Rachel

    Edit: Added values for time ship based on the report of two other users claiming they found 1 in 10 boxes and 1 in 70 Boxes for a total of 2 in 325 boxes.
  • hippiejonhippiejon Member Posts: 1,581 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    You did it your way, Levi, and I did it mine.
    Exchanged all my saved Dil for Master keys.
    Sold them on the exchange.
    Watched the exchange like a hawk.
    Someone obviously trying to post their Temporal Science vessel for like 99 million, missed a few zero's and BOOP , Got me a time ship for 9,900 ec.

    It's back on the exchange already.
    Hope you had fun with the boxes Bro.
    I know I had fun on the exchange :)

    Peace
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    hippiejon wrote: »
    You did it your way, Levi, and I did it mine.
    Exchanged all my saved Dil for Master keys.
    Sold them on the exchange.
    Watched the exchange like a hawk.
    Someone obviously trying to post their Temporal Science vessel for like 99 million, missed a few zero's and BOOP , Got me a time ship for 9,900 ec.

    It's back on the exchange already.
    Hope you had fun with the boxes Bro.
    I know I had fun on the exchange :)

    Peace

    Hippie that's a bit of bad karma there bro - since it was a huge error on the other persons part and they probably feel horrible - it's like finding someones wallet and not returning it or cellphone or something.

    Anyways that's just how I see it. You have their info on the ticket. But it looks like you were looking for some unfortunate soul to make a mistake, I don't know what to say dude.
  • lucho80lucho80 Member Posts: 6,600 Bug Hunter
    edited September 2012
    If you get the temporal beacon, you might as well have gotten nothing. I've done 6 temporal assignments, all with purple doffs aligned to the needs of the assignments. Even on critical success, I got blue doffs that are nothing special. There is a small chance of a purple doff. On success you get a green or white doff (again, random). The kicker is, if you get moderate success you get nothing, just CXP. I got moderate 3 times and critical 2 because the percentages assigned to those assignments are horrible.
  • v0850v0850 Member Posts: 11 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    The Math is simple: the reciprocal of a percentage is the number of boxes you need to open on average to obtain the given item.[..]

    Ah now i get your point :cool:

    but since there is an exchange in the game it is cheaper to spend 120k EC for a gamma Quadrant Pack
    than using some keys worth 1.5M EC just for trying to get this Gamma Quadrant Pack, as example :D

    Regards
  • zeuxidemus001zeuxidemus001 Member Posts: 3,357 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Biggest part of lockboxes is the result of the more lockboxes come out the more it does not feel like star trek..

    You load into a STF or Fleet Event and you see next to you a ferrengi marauder, jem hadar attack ship, a cardassian galor, tholian ship, and a time ship... I am still waiting for a borg lockbox with a elite tactical cube with 10 commander universal stations.
  • thecosmic1thecosmic1 Member Posts: 9,365 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    Biggest part of lockboxes is the result of the more lockboxes come out the more it does not feel like star trek..

    You load into a STF or Fleet Event and you see next to you a ferrengi marauder, jem hadar attack ship, a cardassian galor, tholian ship, and a time ship... I am still waiting for a borg lockbox with a elite tactical cube with 10 commander universal stations.
    I personally never had many moments when I thought this game felt like some concise canon aspect of Trek. From the first day of Headstart, when Sirius was filled with TOS Connies and Mirandas, I knew this game didn't care about its own canon. So, since before Day 1 I knew STO for what it was: an All-Purpose Trek game designed to appease Trek fanboys as much as possible.

    The argument about how a Bug or Galor TRIBBLE with the game are no more valid then how an NX or Miranda TRIBBLE with the game - as neither makes sense as Faction ships in a 25th Century Trek universe. They're all in the game because some segment of the fan-base geeks-out over getting to use them; and that's all STO really is: a way for Trek fans to geek-out - each fan in his own way.
    STO is about my Liberated Borg Federation Captain with his Breen 1st Officer, Jem'Hadar Tactical Officer, Liberated Borg Engineering Officer, Android Ops Officer, Photonic Science Officer, Gorn Science Officer, and Reman Medical Officer jumping into their Jem'Hadar Carrier and flying off to do missions for the new Romulan Empire. But for some players allowing a T5 Connie to be used breaks the canon in the game.
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    thecosmic1 wrote: »
    I personally never had many moments when I thought this game felt like some concise canon aspect of Trek. From the first day of Headstart, when Sirius was filled with TOS Connies and Mirandas, I knew this game didn't care about its own canon. So, since before Day 1 I knew STO for what it was: an All-Purpose Trek game decided to appease Trek fanboys as much as possible.

    The argument about how a Bug or Galor TRIBBLE with the game are no more valid then how an NX or Miranda TRIBBLE with the game - as neither makes sense as Faction ships in a 25th Century Trek universe. They're all in the game because some segment of the fan-base geeks-out over getting to use them; and that's all STO really is: a way for Trek fans to geek-out - each fan in his own way.

    Cosmic you never posted how you did? Being modest I bet you got 3 ships!!
  • pyryckpyryck Member Posts: 6 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    40 keys/boxes:

    1 timeship
    1 MU Recon Sci ship
    3 Temporal beacons
    2 Temporal Doffs
    1 Faction console
    6 Disruptor weapons
    1 x100 FM boost
    7 x2k CXP boosts
    3 x10k CXP boosts
    10 standard doff
    5 gamma doffs
  • thecosmic1thecosmic1 Member Posts: 9,365 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    levi3 wrote: »
    Cosmic you never posted how you did? Being modest I bet you got 3 ships!!
    I haven't played since yesterday morning, pre-patch. I might get in this afternoon, if not it'll be later tonight. I doubt I'll open more then 10 Lockboxes per day, though. I'm a firmer believer in karma then you are - I want to spread the chances for potential luck around rather then try and hope it's all on one day. :)
    STO is about my Liberated Borg Federation Captain with his Breen 1st Officer, Jem'Hadar Tactical Officer, Liberated Borg Engineering Officer, Android Ops Officer, Photonic Science Officer, Gorn Science Officer, and Reman Medical Officer jumping into their Jem'Hadar Carrier and flying off to do missions for the new Romulan Empire. But for some players allowing a T5 Connie to be used breaks the canon in the game.
  • xion21183xion21183 Member Posts: 9 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    1 timeship (on 78th box)
    10 MU recon ships
    11 temporal beacons
    15 gamma doffs
    20 temporal beacons
    6 temporal doffs
    11 10k cxp boosts
    6 disruptor weapons
  • levi3levi3 Member Posts: 1,663 Arc User
    edited September 2012
    thecosmic1 wrote: »
    I haven't played since yesterday morning, pre-patch. I might get in this afternoon, if not it'll be later tonight. I doubt I'll open more then 10 Lockboxes per day, though. I'm a firmer believer in karma then you are - I want to spread the chances for potential luck around rather then try and hope it's all on one day. :)

    I am also a firm believer that the guy who claimed Cryptic would "Juice" my results caused them to do the exact opposite and made sure I didn't get it(considerind the massive views this post was getting):eek: Either that our I am just very unlucky which is probably the case and much more likely than cryptic manipulating things.:( But you guys can make up your own minds.
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