Unable to Upgrade

zardoz007

Have noticed this today I tried upgrading a Blue Bloodcrystal Raven skull into a Purple Blood Crystal raven skull. 50% chance I used 15 Green wards on this and failed everytime. Anyone else experience a similar problem?

angrysprite

Green wards only protect your reagents. Blue wards guarantee the upgrade. I hate to say it, but maybe you need to try with a blue ward? As for failure rates - hell, I've had five failures in a row just upgrading a 4 to 5.

rgladiato

The thing to remember is the percent chance is per-attempt. It is not overall. Think of a real life coin toss. If you flip it 10 times it is unlikely that you will get 5 heads and 5 tails but each flip has a 50% chance of being heads. Now that said the more coin tosses you do the closer you'll get to an overall 50/50 result. 10 flips may be 2 heads and 8 tails. 10000 flips might be 4000 heads and 6000 tails, etc.

That's what I hate about RNGs when they don't take long term trends into account. I have no idea if Neverwinter's RNG is just a straight random number each try or not. There are mathematical formulas that bring a computers RNG closer to what it would be if we were using real world objects such as dice. I don't have the code so I can't tell.

beckylunatic

15 wards is a little unreasonable but not completely impossible.

That said, if any items required for the upgrade are in your overflow bag, upgrading will fail every time, and that's what this sounds like to me.

beckylunatic

angrysprite wrote: »

I hate to say it, but maybe you need to try with a blue ward?

On a 50% chance, this is *terrible* advice, especially since I would bet you the ten dollars that the OP's problem is caused by the bug I cited.