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I predicted this game would be dead in 6 months

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  • f0skef0ske Member, Neverwinter Beta Users Posts: 32
    edited May 2013
    Me too i predicted the fail of this game.
    Anyway Neverwinter it's just a passageway before the beta of Wildstar and TESO.
    Now thanks I can leave properly this bad game.
  • askopdkapokaskopdkapok Member Posts: 648 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    ::sigh:: nope that is based on repeated research done in MMO's over the years. Generally MMO message boards have at best 5% of the players posting. The reality is that it is typically more like 1% of the player base posting. And that is true for all MMO's.

    Which is why it is always fun to watch the crowds of self important posters claiming to speak for everyone.

    Please cite some of these references you claim? I've played every MMO since Meridian 59, and MUDs for years before that and never saw a single study publishing results as to what percentage of a given population browses the forums... DERP.
  • maho4200maho4200 Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Guardian Users Posts: 526 Bounty Hunter
    edited May 2013
    ::sigh:: nope that is based on repeated research done in MMO's over the years. Generally MMO message boards have at best 5% of the players posting. The reality is that it is typically more like 1% of the player base posting. And that is true for all MMO's.

    Which is why it is always fun to watch the crowds of self important posters claiming to speak for everyone.
    Surely you have a source for your claim then.
    Neverwinter Online Open Beta is an ongoing success
  • reilz1981reilz1981 Member Posts: 512 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    they should have an in-game referendum on the total wipe and any who dont vote get deleted that would give us the communities opinion once and for all
    Actual Join date: Dec 2007
  • maho4200maho4200 Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Guardian Users Posts: 526 Bounty Hunter
    edited May 2013
    riven84 wrote: »
    Regardless of whether or not he can provide sources, common sense dictates that the point he is trying to make is correct.

    Of course, if you lack common sense, you might disagree.
    When you start dishing out exact numbers you can't just claim that is common sense.
    Neverwinter Online Open Beta is an ongoing success
  • fotzikfotzik Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    bluarcher wrote: »
    those was players who just used the exploit as a excuse to get a free reroll on there toons .. in other words they was trying to exploit the downtime

    Yes because the exploiters that got away with all their mules and got to use the exploit waay before this rollback wants a rollback and lose all their AD.
  • askopdkapokaskopdkapok Member Posts: 648 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    maho4200 wrote: »
    When you start dishing out exact numbers you can't just claim that is common sense.

    Exactly.... saying 1-5% is a very finite claim... far beyond the scope of "common sense".

    Not to mention horribly inaccurate even for an educated guess. If I had to guess I'd says at least 75% of a games population in this day and age use the forums to some extent... probably even a higher percentage than that.
  • xnauticaxnautica Member Posts: 7 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    Looks like PWE is running this game the same way they run Forsaken World! Exploiters get over at the expense of all the legit players, which is why so many people have left that game. If that is truly the case Neverwinter will die just like FW has.
  • lordoffilinglordoffiling Member Posts: 5 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    maho4200 wrote: »
    Surely you have a source for your claim then.

    No, he's right. The issue is that there is no one source to cite. Community moderators across dozens of games say it in an off-handed fashion. Usually what they say is something like, "Only a small percentage of the population uses the forums." Over the years the various mmo communities have settled on numbers anywhere between 1% and 10%, but no higher. Last number I'd heard as being generally accepted was 10%.

    It's also true that the 10% (let's just say that) who *do* come to the forums are typically much more passionate about the game they're playing than the rest of the population. We have opinions we voice loudly, we have no problem getting nasty with the developers, we make outlandish claims like we have a degree in MMO design or some other **** thing that makes our voice more important than anybody else's.

    Forum users are, in short, the "nerds who are to nerds what nerds are to normal people." We're the cultists. We're the extremists. Our opinions are *not* representative of the game's population in general. So, the poll wherein 70% of the forum users wanted a full wipe was not valid. It only represented the voice of a very small subsection of the game's hardcore opinion.
  • flayedawgflayedawg Member Posts: 475 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    There are certainly a lot of players logged in & playing this "dead" game.

    I think it's funny that people are demanding evidence for the claim that forum goers represent a distinct minority of any game's population, but nobody is demanding evidence that the game is "dying."
    Fare you well
    Let your life proceed by its own designs
    Nothing to tell
    Let the words be yours, I'm done with mine ...
  • clansman2013clansman2013 Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    Just log into the game right now. Chat is full of "WTF happened to my stuff?", "How come I lost 10 levels?", "Why is the Diamond Exchange not working?"etc. It's all i'm seeing. So although there is no way to predict hard numbers, it certainly appears that a LOT of people don't read the forums.
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • lordoffilinglordoffiling Member Posts: 5 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    Just log into the game right now. Chat is full of "WTF happened to my stuff?", "How come I lost 10 levels?", "Why is the Diamond Exchange not working?"etc. It's all i'm seeing. So although there is no way to predict hard numbers, it certainly appears that a LOT of people don't read the forums.

    Or follow on Facebook. Or Twitter. Or the other bazillion news outlets the game has. See my post above. It's symptomatic of the same thing.
  • rictrasrictras Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Guardian Users Posts: 239 Bounty Hunter
    edited May 2013
    fotzik wrote: »
    Felt more dead if you ask me.

    I was just in game. I see no less characters running around than usual.
    The meaning of life, is to give life meaning.
  • zeuseason411zeuseason411 Member Posts: 107
    edited May 2013
    This wouldn't have happened (as severely) if this was a sub game, not p2w.
  • flayedawgflayedawg Member Posts: 475 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    This wouldn't have happened (as severely) if this was a sub game, not p2w.

    Just a couple weeks ago, a similar bug existed in WoW: people were posting auctions, cancelling them, & getting both their item back & the price they'd auctioned it for. So, yes, it was happening -- pretty much as severely -- in a sub game.
    Fare you well
    Let your life proceed by its own designs
    Nothing to tell
    Let the words be yours, I'm done with mine ...
  • realr3sistancerealr3sistance Member Posts: 191 Bounty Hunter
    edited May 2013
    sagasaint wrote: »
    Sweet Jesus, PW/Cryptic beat me to the punch by a good 5 months

    well played sirs, well played

    can't tell if trollin.... wait yes I can, definitely trolling.
  • askopdkapokaskopdkapok Member Posts: 648 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    can't tell if trollin.... wait yes I can, definitely trolling.

    I can't tell if your trolling.... let's see:

    1) Thread title clearly states the thread's content
    2) You entered the thread
    3) You made no meaningful additions to the thread's original topic and discussion point

    Yup your trolling.
  • arcbladezarcbladez Member Posts: 210 Bounty Hunter
    edited May 2013
    June 12 2013...
  • sumeragisansumeragisan Member Posts: 12 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    Within 6 months AA and Wildstar would have launched, you know, REAL MMO's.
    Its not even worth spending time ingame.
  • flayedawgflayedawg Member Posts: 475 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    You made no meaningful additions to the thread's original topic and discussion point

    The entire thread makes no meaningful additions to its own original topic, since it's utter nonsense: the game is neither "dead" nor "dying," as can be seen by anyone who actually logs in with their eyes open.
    Fare you well
    Let your life proceed by its own designs
    Nothing to tell
    Let the words be yours, I'm done with mine ...
  • raal1raal1 Member Posts: 82 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    ghentor wrote: »
    What i dont understand is , there is a poll with 70% ppl asking for a full wipe , why they dont wake up and listen the community?

    Because the small percentage of people that post on these forums doesn't accurately reflect the community.
  • sagasaintsagasaint Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    flayedawg wrote: »
    The entire thread makes no meaningful additions to its own original topic, since it's utter nonsense: the game is neither "dead" nor "dying," as can be seen by anyone who actually logs in with their eyes open.

    thats bull...the game is sharded, and the server creates/merges shards as necessary to accomodate the playerbase at the time, hence its impossible to simply say "I see the same amount of people as everyday"...what your not seeing is how many other shards the server is currently supporting. for example, that along with your shard, there were 25 other shard instances 3 weeks ago and now there's just 3...but wait, you probably knew that.

    oh sorry, seems like I have ruined your absolutly desperate attempt at damage control...

    the game was dying from the first day, being a PWE game and all that...this simply bumped up the speed of deterioration by a factor of 10...
  • wctp0wackowctp0wacko Member Posts: 19 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    I felt that way with Rift, Star Wars, GW2... and mostly I was right about all of them, population dropped to below 25% on each from their highest numbers. This game though.... I feel the DnD crowd will keep it above a 60% hold. As long as content keeps coming, they will stay firm. If content drops.. so will the game. Still Open Beta, and still no mass ads yet... it will come.
  • jn2002dk1jn2002dk1 Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Guardian Users Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    Game is dead on arrival given this latest fiasco

    I bet Turbine is pretty happy with this though, DDO is still the only place to go for a D&D mmo
  • brothertanbrothertan Member Posts: 12
    edited May 2013
    The fact that message boards typically represent only 1 - 5% of the actual active player base.
    Hmmm that 1-5% = the paying player base that keeps afloat the servers for the casuals you mean.
  • mconosrepmconosrep Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    raal1 wrote: »
    Because the small percentage of people that post on these forums doesn't accurately reflect the community.

    Interesting argument - so whatever is the most consensus here must be wrong then?

    Oh wait that makes even less sense.
  • oblongshipoblongship Member Posts: 38
    edited May 2013
    Someone show me evidence this game is dying....

    Because all I have seen are hissy fits from a minority pitching one because they didn't get their way on a wipe...
  • angryspriteangrysprite Member Posts: 4,982 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    OP: you're not THAT influential or insightful. But it's okay to be a legend in your own mind.
  • oblongshipoblongship Member Posts: 38
    edited May 2013
    brothertan wrote: »
    Hmmm that 1-5% = the paying player base that keeps afloat the servers for the casuals you mean.

    Show me your proof that the 1 - 5% on the forums of all places are the ones keeping the game afloat...
  • wrenaqwrenaq Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    Waaaaaa!
    Waaaaaa!
    Waaaaaa!

    OMG what a bunch of self entitled cry babies...I have never been on a forum with such a load of obvious kids in.
    OP get a grip the game will not die but please no one will mind If you go and never post again.
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