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Odds for Elachi Dreadnoght

ryurangerryuranger Member Posts: 533 Arc User
I am wondering what are the Odds for the Elachi Dreadnought for this Event is it 1in5 or 1in3 1in10 I would like to know
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  • meimeitoomeimeitoo Member Posts: 12,594 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    1.1%, to be precise.
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  • js26568js26568 Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    It's over 1 in 200, and because its based on a random number generator you could open 10000 and not find a single ship.
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  • meimeitoomeimeitoo Member Posts: 12,594 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    js26568 wrote: »
    It's over 1 in 200, and because its based on a random number generator you could open 10000 and not find a single ship.

    No, I'm pretty sure it's 1.1% (I think it was in the latest podcast). Remember, these are not lockbox chances, but they are normalized for the R&D box prices.
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  • potasssiumpotasssium Member Posts: 1,226 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Based on my own experience 0 in 20, and last I checked the were none on the exchange either.

    I've seen them in sector space but that is about it.
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  • jellico1jellico1 Member Posts: 2,719
    edited December 2014
    I didn't hear it in the podcast could have missed it

    but the odds are so poor its not worth my money
    Jellico....Engineer ground.....Da'val Romulan space Sci
    Saphire.. Science ground......Ko'el Romulan space Tac
    Leva........Tactical ground.....Koj Romulan space Eng

    JJ-Verse will never be Canon or considered Lore...It will always be JJ-Verse
  • timelords1701timelords1701 Member Posts: 556 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    well i grabbed 1000 zen yesty arvo, bought one of the 4 pack of the r&d package and got it on opening the 3rd box, the day before a friend in my fleet did exactly the same.
    i guess the odds were in our favour.... :cool:
  • jellico1jellico1 Member Posts: 2,719
    edited December 2014
    well i grabbed 1000 zen yesty arvo, bought one of the 4 pack of the r&d package and got it on opening the 3rd box, the day before a friend in my fleet did exactly the same.
    i guess the odds were in our favour.... :cool:


    well if your odds are so good why arnt you buying them up and posting them on the exchange for 500 million ec each ?
    Jellico....Engineer ground.....Da'val Romulan space Sci
    Saphire.. Science ground......Ko'el Romulan space Tac
    Leva........Tactical ground.....Koj Romulan space Eng

    JJ-Verse will never be Canon or considered Lore...It will always be JJ-Verse
  • redheadguyredheadguy Member Posts: 423 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    well i grabbed 1000 zen yesty arvo, bought one of the 4 pack of the r&d package and got it on opening the 3rd box, the day before a friend in my fleet did exactly the same.
    i guess the odds were in our favour.... :cool:

    Oh yea, just rube it in why don't you... :P
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    [/SIGPIC]
  • redheadguyredheadguy Member Posts: 423 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    meimeitoo wrote: »
    No, I'm pretty sure it's 1.1% (I think it was in the latest podcast). Remember, these are not lockbox chances, but they are normalized for the R&D box prices.

    On a side note: I absolutely LOVE your sig! :D
    [SIGPIC]

    [/SIGPIC]
  • meimeitoomeimeitoo Member Posts: 12,594 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    redheadguy wrote: »
    On a side note: I absolutely LOVE your sig! :D

    Awww; thx! :)
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  • woodwhitywoodwhity Member Posts: 2,636 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    meimeitoo wrote: »
    No, I'm pretty sure it's 1.1% (I think it was in the latest podcast). Remember, these are not lockbox chances, but they are normalized for the R&D box prices.

    Never believe what they tell you in podcasts. They only cross their fingers nobody makes the test like usually when a new lockbox appears and someone opens ten thousand of them on tribble.
  • prierinprierin Member Posts: 7 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    meimeitoo wrote: »
    1.1%, to be precise.


    1.1% per box to be even more precise.

    In other words, you could have 100 boxes and get no ship. Alternatively, you could pop a ship on your very first box.
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  • timelords1701timelords1701 Member Posts: 556 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    jellico1 wrote: »


    well if your odds are so good why arnt you buying them up and posting them on the exchange for 500 million ec each ?

    funny you say that, after transferring a few copys to tribble to try out and to tuck away for friends if they would like to try one, i indeed did put it up on the exchange as there were none available this morning, was limited by the max selling of 500 million, it sold within 30 secs, so with that i purchased a wells class science vessel for 170 mill and an adapted destroyer for 70 mill to complete my other 2 alts sets, leaving me 260 mill in my account bank, as for buying them all up remark thats nuts at this time of year, i took the risk of investing 10 dollars and won, with xmas close at hand and 4 children, my money is not something i generally part with at this time of year for my own personal use within games.. so xmas will be an awesome time for me in sto and in the real world.. :cool:
  • kayajaykayajay Member Posts: 1,990 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Unless ANY of these ships you plan to favour entirely and play nothing else but, I wouldn't bother. I used to go for a lot of them, because I thought "oh cool", but when you get them and they're not all they're cracked up to be, you wish you could go back and tell yourself to put your credit card away.
  • lianthelialianthelia Member Posts: 7,880 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    kayajay wrote: »
    Unless ANY of these ships you plan to favour entirely and play nothing else but, I wouldn't bother. I used to go for a lot of them, because I thought "oh cool", but when you get them and they're not all they're cracked up to be, you wish you could go back and tell yourself to put your credit card away.

    I really want one...because it is just a awesome looking ship and all...and I own the Scimitar pack...I'd rather fly a Sheshar because I like the build and everything better.

    Between the Sarr Theln and the Sheshar I think I'd be happy with T6 till perhaps they release some of these other specialties they said they plan to develop one day...
    Can't have a honest conversation because of a white knight with power
  • thomas101662thomas101662 Member Posts: 18 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    kayajay wrote: »
    Unless ANY of these ships you plan to favour entirely and play nothing else but, I wouldn't bother. I used to go for a lot of them, because I thought "oh cool", but when you get them and they're not all they're cracked up to be, you wish you could go back and tell yourself to put your credit card away.

    I bought 3 4 packs the first day and got it on the very last click. a friend got his on the 3rd click later that night. With it's 5 front weps, hanger bay, and abilities this thing oblitertates whats in front of it.
  • davefenestratordavefenestrator Member Posts: 10,655 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    I bought a 4-pack and didn't get it. The odds probably are 1.1% per R&D pack, so expect to spend $75+ if you want the ship. Maybe you'll get lucky but probably not.
  • arintalarintal Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    its 2.5 euro per pack buying 4 packs

    If you open infinite amount of boxes it will be = 227 euro/ship
  • warmaker001bwarmaker001b Member Posts: 9,205 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    ryuranger wrote: »
    I am wondering what are the Odds for the Elachi Dreadnought for this Event is it 1in5 or 1in3 1in10 I would like to know

    If you go by the Fly In Text you have these chances:

    Everybody else chance on getting the Sheshar: 25% to get it

    When you actually try it yourself: Cryptic Profits, you don't get a ship.
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  • nerd666nerd666 Member Posts: 9 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    ryuranger wrote: »
    I am wondering what are the Odds for the Elachi Dreadnought for this Event is it 1in5 or 1in3 1in10 I would like to know

    I've heard about 1% which is a complete greedy money grab if it's true. Which I've already been banned and blocked from STO's facebook page for commenting about. I'm a Lifetime member and I was banned for making that comment on their facebook page. Seems a bit silly to me but I guess it's their page perpetuating their greedy practices! Long live Scrooge/Grinch/Cryptic! Merry Christmas players, enjoy all of the bugs and downtime, and the gamble with nearly no chances of winning spaceship promotions! Yay!
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  • prierinprierin Member Posts: 7 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    nerd666 wrote: »
    I've heard about 1% which is a complete greedy money grab if it's true. Which I've already been banned and blocked from STO's facebook page for commenting about. I'm a Lifetime member and I was banned for making that comment on their facebook page. Seems a bit silly to me but I guess it's their page perpetuating their greedy practices! Long live Scrooge/Grinch/Cryptic! Merry Christmas players, enjoy all of the bugs and downtime, and the gamble with nearly no chances of winning spaceship promotions! Yay!


    Somehow I doubt that was the reason you were banned... they don't ban people for merely diagreeing or speakng out against current practices. They DO ban people for abusive language, etc. Are you telling the whole truth?
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  • mustrumridcully0mustrumridcully0 Member Posts: 12,963 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    prierin wrote: »
    Somehow I doubt that was the reason you were banned... they don't ban people for merely diagreeing or speakng out against current practices. They DO ban people for abusive language, etc. Are you telling the whole truth?

    Of course he was. No one that was ever banned on any forum has ever done anythnig wrong that would justify a ban. You can ask anyone that was banned.
    Star Trek Online Advancement: You start with lowbie gear, you end with Lobi gear.
  • nesomumi2nesomumi2 Member Posts: 359 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Of course he was. No one that was ever banned on any forum has ever done anythnig wrong that would justify a ban. You can ask anyone that was banned.

    i'm innocent. :D
  • meimeitoomeimeitoo Member Posts: 12,594 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    At 1.1% odds, that a minimum of ~250 euros to get the ship. Provided you don't have to open several hundred more boxes. Either that, or pay 500 mil. :(
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  • mustrumridcully0mustrumridcully0 Member Posts: 12,963 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    meimeitoo wrote: »
    At 1.1% odds, that a minimum of ~250 euros to get the ship. Provided you don't have to open several hundred more boxes. Either that, or pay 500 mil. :(

    The minimum is still the price of one R&D box, and the maximum is infinity. Somewhere in between your real cost will be.
    Star Trek Online Advancement: You start with lowbie gear, you end with Lobi gear.
  • taylor1701dtaylor1701d Member Posts: 3,099 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Well...If this promo is anything like the Romulan Duty Officer pack/JHAS Bug Ship..

    I opened 85 - 90 Rom Packs for my JHAS

    Yes I'm an idiot.


    250z x 90 = 22500k Zen

    or if you prefer...

    $ 225.00
    (Tax not included)

    Oh, and thanks to T6...the JHAS will be outdated as soon as Fleet T6 come out..
    Gotta LOVE power creep.


    Figure it'll be about the same for the average player trying for a sheshar.
    Seems like EVERY lucky player has posted here
    "Oh I got mine on the 3rd box I opened" yatta yatta.. "Oh and all my fleet buddies did it too!"

    For the rest of the community... don't go by what these people have said or you will be sorely disapointed.

    Yes it "Can" happen on the 1st box you open..but not likely.
    The ones who supposedly scored one on 3-4 boxes have a dilithium horse shoe up their butt.
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  • mustrumridcully0mustrumridcully0 Member Posts: 12,963 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    wardcalis wrote: »
    Priority one podcast was wro g. The drop rate is even lower than 1% I dropped 300$ to get that ship. Over 180 boxes and no ship.

    That is not how probabilities work.

    After opening one million R&D boxes, the chance for your next box to contain a lockbox ship is the as it was for your first R&D box.


    But now that you opened 180 Boxes, you should start selling those crafting materials. Maybe you'll be able to afford a lockbox or promo ship with EC. :p
    Star Trek Online Advancement: You start with lowbie gear, you end with Lobi gear.
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