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The Titanic?

jorantomalakjorantomalak Member Posts: 7,133 Arc User
Been reading and contributing to the forum threads but the last podcast P1 200 i think it was made me wonder what the future of the game is.

Sometimes it feels like a sinking ship slowly foundering i was hoping for a time when we would get the cardassians as a faction....now im hoping this game makes it another year.

I know i know people will call this a doom thread but if your that ignorant then stick your head in a bucket and shout " DELTA RISING IS THE GREATEST EXPANSION EVER AND THE PLAYERS LOVE IT" over and over till you force yourself to beleive it.

This is a what are they thinking and wth do they expect to happen to the game thread
its clear DR has hurt this game but if the devs cared they could fix it.

but as of yet it looks as if they wont fix this game so what do they want to happen....wth do they expect the players to do when they drop a stinker like this in our laps.

Players quitting players upset and yet they say nothing is wrong idk why cryptic is acting like a pack of toddlers unwilling to hear a simple truth.

That truth is that DR has really hurt the game and alienated its playerbase for the most part
im hoping they get thie rcollective heads out of thier backsides and fix this once awesome game.

Till they do its going to continue in its foundering as they mishandle and mismanage this horrendous stinker of an expansion.
Post edited by jorantomalak on
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Comments

  • tervahtervah Member Posts: 8 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    I still think this game can be salvaged if they act quickly enough.

    !. For the elite ques, the player that makes it fail gets a 30 minute time out (during their time out they can watch a uTube video on how to do it right), while the other players receive no time out penalty so they can get back in quickly to get it done. Once the mission is completed then you can let them have the cool down as it was intended.

    2. Up the dil reward for the foundry missions because they are the only true Star Trek adventures left in the game. Of course you would need to review the missions to make sure it just not a go in and out to get dil but a real adventure.

    3. Fix the R&D system to where you can use so many greens to upgrade to a blue and so many blues to upgrade to a purple. This will allow players an alternate path to get the very rare R&D stuff to work their R&D crafting.

    4. For the casual player let the doff system do its job by allowing them to mine for the hard to get R&D stuff.

    5. Bring back some exploration to the game.

    Please fix our game and quickly!
  • vivenneanthonyvivenneanthony Member Posts: 1,278 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    tervah wrote: »
    I still think this game can be salvaged if they act quickly enough.

    !. For the elite ques, the player that makes it fail gets a 30 minute time out (during their time out they can watch a uTube video on how to do it right), while the other players receive no time out penalty so they can get back in quickly to get it done. Once the mission is completed then you can let them have the cool down as it was intended.

    2. Up the dil reward for the foundry missions because they are the only true Star Trek adventures left in the game. Of course you would need to review the missions to make sure it just not a go in and out to get dil but a real adventure.

    3. Fix the R&D system to where you can use so many greens to upgrade to a blue and so many blues to upgrade to a purple. This will allow players an alternate path to get the very rare R&D stuff to work their R&D crafting.

    4. For the casual player let the doff system do its job by allowing them to mine for the hard to get R&D stuff.

    5. Bring back some exploration to the game.

    Please fix our game and quickly!

    I agree 200% with number 4 and 5.

    4) Put the Doff mission jobs back to normal where materials can be gotten.

    5) Bring back some exploration.

    From my understand Genesis was not removed from the game just disabled.

    Bring back Genesis.

    1) Bring back some of the planet systems but make it persistent. Once a place is created it becomes a persistent map.. Create a threshold of a number of planets of system can have.

    Better yet, once the threshold is reached. It becomes a part of a exploration system for starters let it be created between the Alpha Quadrant and the Delta Quadrant.

    2) Fix Genesis to have better placement of objects.

    3) Allow each system to have one mineable planet. From dilithium to materials, etc.

    Best part, if you do it, make it once the system becomes a fully explorable system.

    Lets say, System Exploration-128A has a limit of 18 planets (1 mineable). When it becomes a fully explorable system. Fully make it in the sector map. So it will have 2 parts. Exploration-128A named Akia and the other part D'tar.

    Make it a open space like initially ideal.

    The goal.

    Start implementing new mechanics into the game for a more dynamic and persistent universe which the games need BADLY.
  • mustrumridcully0mustrumridcully0 Member Posts: 12,963 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    I never got the impression STO was deemed unsinkable.
    In fact, I got the impression it was unlikely to survive launch.

    I am not sure what might be a better historical analogy.
    Star Trek Online Advancement: You start with lowbie gear, you end with Lobi gear.
  • edited December 2014
    This content has been removed.
  • starswordcstarswordc Member Posts: 10,965 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    I never got the impression STO was deemed unsinkable.
    In fact, I got the impression it was unlikely to survive launch.

    I am not sure what might be a better historical analogy.

    The Vasa? :D
    "Great War! / And I cannot take more! / Great tour! / I keep on marching on / I play the great score / There will be no encore / Great War! / The War to End All Wars"
    — Sabaton, "Great War"
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    Check out https://unitedfederationofpla.net/s/
  • markhawkmanmarkhawkman Member Posts: 35,236 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    starswordc wrote: »
    The Vasa? :D
    I was gonna say the USS Constitution :p
    -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
    My character Tsin'xing
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  • verlaine11verlaine11 Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    With all these threads why don't people understand, we love it and its the greatest expansion ever



















    Help, they have my cat and are making me write this....
  • solarwraithsolarwraith Member Posts: 191 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Is this about my sig?

    Why yes, yes it is about your sig...in fact, it should show a starship crashing into the Titanic and splitting it in half! Or maybe not...still nice sig.
  • duncanidaho11duncanidaho11 Member Posts: 7,980 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    I know i know people will call this a doom thread but if your that ignorant then stick your head in a bucket and shout " DELTA RISING IS THE GREATEST EXPANSION EVER AND THE PLAYERS LOVE IT" over and over till you force yourself to beleive it.

    Its an escape mechanism from the "harshness" of life to assume that its coming to an end because YOUR interests aren't being specifically catered to. Remember that there's a selective bias in forum contributors and their collective action, no matter how hot the rhetoric, will ever be representative.

    Let population dynamics and economics speak for themselves. You don't need to proclaim anything (as its such a self-indulgent exercise that undermines whatever gripes there may be in the general population with bad examples of their expression in an open format. Basically feedback should be left to speak for itself. Retrospective posts like this try to speak for feedback, begging the question of what the hell was so weak about it in the first place that it needed another go at explanation. Making specific suggestions gets the point across. Assuming the voice of the community and playing the role of a harbinger doesn't.)
    Bipedal mammal and senior Foundry author.
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  • janus1975janus1975 Member Posts: 739 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    It is still able to be rescued, but the longer that Cryptic/PWE waits around, the less successful that rescue will be.

    The big problem isn't so much the people here in the forums complaining, because a fix today means we're back in tomorrow. It's not the regulars who just play with low-grade equipment, they're the ones still in there wondering what all the fuss is about. The real issue is the casuals who have already left, and the episode chasers who go game-to-game trying out the latest expansions in one game after another.

    The episode chasers are gone, and some will not come back unless they happen to hear that things have been fixed properly. Even then, it will only be with the next major story release. The casuals might come back but as this has taken two months so far, it will take more effort.

    So in other words, this is the kind of problem that chases away the big spenders, keeps the non-spenders in-game using your infrastructure, and discourages the episodic players from returning without some serious reform.

    There's also the issue of PWE wanting their Western assets to achieve more, and probably demanding that STO and other games fall into line with their "performing" assets by adopting a similar style of play (which happens to be Asian). The problem there is that Asian MMOs work in an entirely different way, because of an entirely different set of cultural norms and expectations, and an entirely different approach to the internet. The thing they don't seem to get is that the very reason why Western-style MMOs would fail in Asia is the exact same set of problems that is leading to Asian style MMOs being unpopular in the West.

    So I would expect that this situation will lead to one or more of the following:

    • STO's player numbers being more-or-less permanently dampened by the current approach (there are only so many Trek players out there... it's not like STO has the engine to be popular among non-Trek MMO players);
    • If not, STO going full-thrust into Asian Grinder style, and turning into a space-fantasy game with elements of Trek (and a wholesale shift in playerbase from West to East);
    • If the value of STO and other Cryptic assets not performing to PWE's expectations, Cryptic being divested from PWE, either as an autonomous subsidiary (i.e. "send us a cheque but you're on your own"), or sold off completely
    • If not, Cryptic being put on life-support and/or shut down quietly with something about "change in strategic direction" to avoid losing face


    Any which way, I doubt STO will ever return to "business as usual". If that was even an option, it would have happened by now.
  • walshicuswalshicus Member Posts: 1,314 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    tervah wrote: »
    I still think this game can be salvaged if they act quickly enough.

    1. For the elite ques, the player that makes it fail gets a 30 minute time out (during their time out they can watch a uTube video on how to do it right), while the other players receive no time out penalty so they can get back in quickly to get it done. Once the mission is completed then you can let them have the cool down as it was intended.
    If you're pugging any Elite mission that's easily failed then you're doing it wrong. Plus, this would be completely unworkable in queues like Borg Disconnected where success or failure is team-wide and not attributable to individuals.

    2. Up the dil reward for the foundry missions because they are the only true Star Trek adventures left in the game. Of course you would need to review the missions to make sure it just not a go in and out to get dil but a real adventure.
    Foundry missions are *already* one of the more generous sources of Dilithium in the game. There's no need to increase that.
    3. Fix the R&D system to where you can use so many greens to upgrade to a blue and so many blues to upgrade to a purple. This will allow players an alternate path to get the very rare R&D stuff to work their R&D crafting.
    The R&D system is fine. Your goal should be Mk XIV Very Rare, not Epic. Even then there's NOTHING in this game that can't be done in low level gear.
    4. For the casual player let the doff system do its job by allowing them to mine for the hard to get R&D stuff.
    Casual players have ample opportunities to get these materials; the absolute easiest being to use the existing DOFF science missions to earn basic materials to sell to other players to earn the EC needed for the VR materials. Or you know, playing the queues that reward them.
    5. Bring back some exploration to the game.
    Why do you want generic, thoughtless procedural content when there are thousands of well written Foundry missions to play?




    I think a lot of you forget how absurdly generous this game is sometimes. I mean we've got an event coming up where you just have to spend *literally* three minutes or less running a race course 25 times and you're given an end-game ship with healthy stats for no monetary input at all. It's been *years* since any of us had to put a penny into this game and we can all enjoy every single piece of content with no money-gating. Yeah there are elements of the game that are designed with a cash/time trade-off at their core, but every single one of those elements is optional, and let's not pretend Cryptic are running a charity.

    People complain, but objectively STO has never been as good as it is now. If you think STO was somehow better in the past then you need to take the rose tinted glasses off because I *remember* what we launched with; and I *remember* how that first year went.
    http://mmo-economics.com - analysing the economic interactions in MMOs.
  • priestofsin420priestofsin420 Member Posts: 419
    edited December 2014
    I love how everyone is predicting this game's doom without any data. Show me earnings reports related to Cryptic, show me what their profit ratio is. Show me the operating costs.

    We don't have any of that info. There is no point in predicting this game's demise, especially since everyone has been doing that since the game launched.
    Sardak (Science Officer): Captain of a 23k DPS R'Mor Temporal Science Vessel, R.R.W. Vathos
    Odan Brota (Science Officer): Captain of a 28k DPS Scryer Intel Science Vessel, U.S.S. Kepler
    Patiently waiting for a Romulan Science Vessel
  • walshicuswalshicus Member Posts: 1,314 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    janus1975 wrote: »
    The episode chasers are gone, and some will not come back unless they happen to hear that things have been fixed properly. Even then, it will only be with the next major story release. The casuals might come back but as this has taken two months so far, it will take more effort.

    This is such a stupid assessment that it's almost comical. "Episode Chasers" are not "Big Spenders". Episode Chasers are nearly the definition of casual, low spend, high churn players.

    The lights are kept on by a small group of big spenders who will buy every ship, and an even smaller group of "whales" who'll spend thousands of pounds to get their R&D rank to 20 on the first day, or to spend their way to Mk XIV Gold in hours and not months.


    I love how everyone is predicting this game's doom without any data. Show me earnings reports related to Cryptic, show me what their profit ratio is. Show me the operating costs.

    We don't have any of that info. There is no point in predicting this game's demise, especially since everyone has been doing that since the game launched.
    This. The "doom" thing has been going on since the Beta. This thread is a rehash of a thread from a month ago which was a rehash of a thread from two months ago which was a rehash of a thread from two years ago and so on and so on.

    But the game keeps on getting bigger. I mean damn, if STO's biggest single revenue day was what, nearly four years after it's launch? There are very few MMOs that have that kind of revenue curve.
    http://mmo-economics.com - analysing the economic interactions in MMOs.
  • janus1975janus1975 Member Posts: 739 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    I love how everyone is predicting this game's doom without any data. Show me earnings reports related to Cryptic, show me what their profit ratio is. Show me the operating costs.

    We don't have any of that info. There is no point in predicting this game's demise, especially since everyone has been doing that since the game launched.

    PWE recently released their profits earnings where they specifically blamed Western assets for underperforming. Playerbase is showing a distinct decline in both peak playerbase load and daily total hours with a sharp dropoff, which correlates to the number of rapid-fire promotions by Cryptic along with dead queues and boosting XP in Delta while limiting it elsewhere.

    I'm satisfied that the picture being painted is one of this game being in trouble. I wish it wasn't, because then Cryptic wouldn't have bothered pushing DR so hard and I could have happily ignored it and just continued elsewhere.

    You want to pretend everything's all rosy and great, fine. That's your prerogative to do so... though I notice you're in the forums rather than in game playing it. That tells me something too.
  • vesterengvestereng Member Posts: 2,252 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Or maybe you forget just how insanely generous the players are sometimes...


    But yeah no stress, I totally believe the game is doing awesome - in terms of cashing in on dil from whales and everyone else who can't help themselves.

    My complaint is just the game - after they now finally manage to delete and nerf everything, is no longer worth playing, for me personally.

    That in my opinion aslong as it has the star trek brand it don't matter what happens, people are ready to buy fake ships, put up with whatever and will never quit no matter what.

    You could say 11,000 patrol runs to a level and there'd be people doing it
  • priestofsin420priestofsin420 Member Posts: 419
    edited December 2014
    janus1975 wrote: »
    PWE recently released their profits earnings where they specifically blamed Western assets for underperforming. Playerbase is showing a distinct decline in both peak playerbase load and daily total hours with a sharp dropoff, which correlates to the number of rapid-fire promotions by Cryptic along with dead queues and boosting XP in Delta while limiting it elsewhere.

    I'm satisfied that the picture being painted is one of this game being in trouble. I wish it wasn't, because then Cryptic wouldn't have bothered pushing DR so hard and I could have happily ignored it and just continued elsewhere.

    You want to pretend everything's all rosy and great, fine. That's your prerogative to do so... though I notice you're in the forums rather than in game playing it. That tells me something too.

    I'm in the game, right now, waiting for patrols to load. I can do a few things at once. In fact, that's usually when I come to the forums.

    Steam is a poor source for player logins, since most people I know don't even use steam for STO anymore. You're making claims that you can't back up, aside from citing an article where, although it states that western properties are performing poorly:

    "However, we are still confident in the long-term prospects of our US subsidiary given its strong R&D and operational capabilities as well as promising pipeline."

    Meaning they aren't going to kill the game. It's going to go through changes, like Delta Rising, which you lot seem to really despise, because I'm assuming you can't faceroll everything anymore. The rest of us, who are capable of adapting to a situation, have restructured our builds, and are doing fine. Well, except for the fact that pugs are a stone around your neck, and many people like myself have stopped pugging altogether. It's simply unreasonable to expect us to drag you along anymore.
    Sardak (Science Officer): Captain of a 23k DPS R'Mor Temporal Science Vessel, R.R.W. Vathos
    Odan Brota (Science Officer): Captain of a 28k DPS Scryer Intel Science Vessel, U.S.S. Kepler
    Patiently waiting for a Romulan Science Vessel
  • walshicuswalshicus Member Posts: 1,314 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    janus1975 wrote: »
    PWE recently released their profits earnings where they specifically blamed Western assets for underperforming. Playerbase is showing a distinct decline in both peak playerbase load and daily total hours with a sharp dropoff, which correlates to the number of rapid-fire promotions by Cryptic along with dead queues and boosting XP in Delta while limiting it elsewhere.

    I'm satisfied that the picture being painted is one of this game being in trouble. I wish it wasn't, because then Cryptic wouldn't have bothered pushing DR so hard and I could have happily ignored it and just continued elsewhere.

    Steam data is not reliable (it's a sample of the total population that is declining at a rate we have no visibility of as more players swap from Steam to Arc installations) and you've misinterpreted the earnings statements:
    "In view of US subsidiary's recent performance and near-term business outlook that are below our expectations, we recognized acquisition-related impairments in this quarter" - Robert Xiao

    Dead queues have always existed; the fact is there are simply too many of them and Cryptic need to start rotating them in and out. And we've always had rapid fire promotions. I've data for total Zen on the exchange market (a fairly good indicator of health) going back literally over two years and there is no unusual activity there.
    You want to pretend everything's all rosy and great, fine. That's your prerogative to do so... though I notice you're in the forums rather than in game playing it. That tells me something too.
    This is a pretty stupid argument to attempt to make. By your logic forums should be devoid of players in successful games? Players with multiple screens don't exist?
    http://mmo-economics.com - analysing the economic interactions in MMOs.
  • dpsloss88dpsloss88 Member Posts: 765 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Some of you gave me something to consider.

    Cryptic may be abandoning the US market in favor of the Asian Grinder Underhive of China, Korea, Japan and the rest of the Pacific Rim where people love to grind for a few grains of "virtual" rice (dilithium) a day...?

    Perhaps we are the stupid ones thinking they care about losing a few thousand westerners, while they are really gaining billions of Asians!
  • janus1975janus1975 Member Posts: 739 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Steam is a poor source for player logins, since most people I know don't even use steam for STO anymore. You're making claims that you can't back up, aside from citing an article where, although it states that western properties are performing poorly:

    "However, we are still confident in the long-term prospects of our US subsidiary given its strong R&D and operational capabilities as well as promising pipeline."

    Meaning they aren't going to kill the game. It's going to go through changes, like Delta Rising, which you lot seem to really despise, because I'm assuming you can't faceroll everything anymore. The rest of us, who are capable of adapting to a situation, have restructured our builds, and are doing fine. Well, except for the fact that pugs are a stone around your neck, and many people like myself have stopped pugging altogether. It's simply unreasonable to expect us to drag you along anymore.

    A few things:

    STO is a segment of the playerbase, so unless you can demonstrate that there has been a wholesale shift of Steam STO players out of Steam and onto another login engine between Pre and Post-DR, your objection is completely irrelevant. You do know that outside of Government census data, no statistics ever deal with more than a sample don't you? That includes medicine use, unemployment programs, education, etc. So "Today X, Two months ago X minus 20%" doesn't change because X itself is 100%, 20%, or 5%.

    That quote is what's known as "PR spin". To recap: I pointed out that the Western assets weren't achieving as much as their eastern assets. You demanded evidence that my statement were true. I provided that evidence. The fact they are working to make those western assets 'perform better' is precisely why I think the game will never return to pre-DR.

    As for adapting, I was... until they nerfed everything non-DR, and failed to fix a range of bugs including the skillstray and Borg Red Alerts. As a player who was spending a lot of money in the past to keep the game going, because I enjoyed it and acknowledged that not every player would or could pay for it.

    In its current state, it's simply unreasonable to expect me to engage in areas I have no interest in, and ignore the areas I do, merely to drag non-paying players along any more.
  • priestofsin420priestofsin420 Member Posts: 419
    edited December 2014
    janus1975 wrote: »
    A few things:

    STO is a segment of the playerbase, so unless you can demonstrate that there has been a wholesale shift of Steam STO players out of Steam and onto another login engine between Pre and Post-DR, your objection is completely irrelevant. You do know that outside of Government census data, no statistics ever deal with more than a sample don't you? That includes medicine use, unemployment programs, education, etc. So "Today X, Two months ago X minus 20%" doesn't change because X itself is 100%, 20%, or 5%.

    That quote is what's known as "PR spin". To recap: I pointed out that the Western assets weren't achieving as much as their eastern assets. You demanded evidence that my statement were true. I provided that evidence. The fact they are working to make those western assets 'perform better' is precisely why I think the game will never return to pre-DR.

    As for adapting, I was... until they nerfed everything non-DR, and failed to fix a range of bugs including the skillstray and Borg Red Alerts. As a player who was spending a lot of money in the past to keep the game going, because I enjoyed it and acknowledged that not every player would or could pay for it.

    In its current state, it's simply unreasonable to expect me to engage in areas I have no interest in, and ignore the areas I do, merely to drag non-paying players along any more.

    2/10, made me reply. Those are some good numbers, except you've failed to provide me with the ones I've asked for. Your claim, that the game is failing, has yet to be upheld by anything but the SINGLE article that you linked, which didn't have hard info at all. By all means, keep screaming that the game is going to die.
    Sardak (Science Officer): Captain of a 23k DPS R'Mor Temporal Science Vessel, R.R.W. Vathos
    Odan Brota (Science Officer): Captain of a 28k DPS Scryer Intel Science Vessel, U.S.S. Kepler
    Patiently waiting for a Romulan Science Vessel
  • janus1975janus1975 Member Posts: 739 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    2/10, made me reply. Those are some good numbers, except you've failed to provide me with the ones I've asked for. Your claim, that the game is failing, has yet to be upheld by anything but the SINGLE article that you linked, which didn't have hard info at all. By all means, keep screaming that the game is going to die.

    Did I say the game is failing? I suggest you spend more time reading and less time looking for things to disagree with.
  • duncanidaho11duncanidaho11 Member Posts: 7,980 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    janus1975 wrote: »
    PWE recently released their profits earnings where they specifically blamed Western assets for underperforming. Playerbase is showing a distinct decline in both peak playerbase load and daily total hours with a sharp dropoff, which correlates to the number of rapid-fire promotions by Cryptic along with dead queues and boosting XP in Delta while limiting it elsewhere.

    A couple of things you should consider here.

    1. PWE's western business also includes (at a glance) APB, Torchlight, Champions, Blacklight, and D+D. The total figure is NOT an appropriate substitute for STO's performance figures. If you need this point explained in more detail, you shouldn't be trying to handle statistics.

    2. As was pointed out above Steam is not necessary to run in order to play STO. Its therefore a compromised data source (because you can suppose a disconnect between people playing STO and people who still haven't worked their way around to the direct log-on yet). Furthermore, take a look at the 6 month view as opposed to the yearly. Does that look like a real population trend (steady on then rapid, regular, geometric shifts)? No of course not, so I'd be very hestistent indeed to base anything on that figure (for a start the noise seems greater than the population trend you're supposing). Point 2 of "how to fail at stats", you don't check your data.
    Bipedal mammal and senior Foundry author.
    Notable missions: Apex [AEI], Gemini [SSF], Trident [AEI], Evolution's Smile [SSF], Transcendence
    Looking for something new to play? I've started building Foundry missions again in visual novel form!
  • janus1975janus1975 Member Posts: 739 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    A couple of things you should consider here.

    1. PWE's western business also includes (at a glance) APB, Torchlight, Champions, Blacklight, and D+D. The total figure is NOT an appropriate substitute for STO's performance figures. If you need this point explained in more detail, you shouldn't be trying to handle statistics.

    2. As was pointed out above Steam is not necessary to run in order to play STO. Its therefore a compromised data source (because you can suppose a disconnect between people playing STO and people who still haven't worked their way around to the direct log-on yet). Furthermore, take a look at the 6 month view as opposed to the yearly. Does that look like a real population trend (steady on then rapid, regular, geometric shifts)? No of course not, so I'd be very hestistent indeed to base anything on that figure (for a start the noise seems greater than the population trend you're supposing). Point 2 of "how to fail at stats", you don't check your data.

    1. Nor did I say it was. What I suggested, and used the word "perhaps" precisely because I don't know the inner workings of Cryptic, that they are being pushed to perform better to fit into the profitability of the Eastern assets, and thus, the Eastern model. If you need this point explained in more detail, you shouldn't be trying to handle English.

    2. Point two of "how to fail at stats"... ignore a source of statistics by arguing that a sample is "compromised". If you look at those stats from the "all", then drill down, and go up, look at the lower and upper bars and note they're not the same, look at the Whole Steam stats on the front page, look at the stats on other games and get a feel for them, then you "might" start to understand them. Obviously you haven't.
  • johngazmanjohngazman Member Posts: 2,826 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    tervah wrote: »
    !. For the elite ques, the player that makes it fail gets a 30 minute time out (during their time out they can watch a uTube video on how to do it right)

    Ah yes, that's how to fix this games' problems; develop a blame culture which bullies newer/less-well equipped players into not playing.
    You're just a machine. And machines can be broken.
    StarTrekFirstContactBorgBattleonetumblr_lln3v6QoT31qzrtqe.gif
  • walshicuswalshicus Member Posts: 1,314 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    janus1975 wrote: »
    2. Point two of "how to fail at stats"... ignore a source of statistics by arguing that a sample is "compromised".

    He's not the one trying to use volume from a source of data which is an unknown, time-variable fraction of the total. Real statisticians (not armchair internet out-my-TRIBBLE statisticians) spend most of their time actively trying to remove biases in their samples and to normalise their data to make it comparable over time or against other sources of data.
    http://mmo-economics.com - analysing the economic interactions in MMOs.
  • tervahtervah Member Posts: 8 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    Let me explain further on the Elite que. When you run Undine Infiltration Elite all one person has to do is answer the question wrong and its over. For the players who only can spend an hour on line you can do it once more and your time is up. My success ratio at the moment is 4 losses to 1 win, I have begged people to not answer the questions if they dont know. Is this fair of me, sure it is. They have had the chance to do it on a regular or advanced and by the time they hit elite it should be a cake walk. But with the fail the other four people are also penalized by the time out where as if only the one who causes the failure gets a time out they might figure out how to do it right the next time. I like the time I spend in STO but want it to be fun not stressed becuase I am now punished for someone else who should know better. I dont mind carrying people in a team but some are now doing this on purpose, it gives them a good laugh. So let them laugh in time out while the rest of us can continue to play!
  • janus1975janus1975 Member Posts: 739 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    walshicus wrote: »
    He's not the one trying to use volume from a source of data which is an unknown, time-variable fraction of the total. Real statisticians (not armchair internet out-my-TRIBBLE statisticians) spend most of their time actively trying to remove biases in their samples and to normalise their data to make it comparable over time or against other sources of data.

    Like I said, unless there's a reason to believe that there has been some sort of shift out of Steam and into some other launch between two months ago and now, there's no reason to believe that downward trend is anything but a downward trend. Considering the complaints about queues and lack of players etc, there's no reason to look for what everyone's logging into now.

    Perhaps you should stop trying to be such an armchair statistician. You're not very good at it.
  • duncanidaho11duncanidaho11 Member Posts: 7,980 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    janus1975 wrote: »
    1. Nor did I say it was. What I suggested, and used the word "perhaps" precisely because I don't know the inner workings of Cryptic, that they are being pushed to perform better to fit into the profitability of the Eastern assets, and thus, the Eastern model. If you need this point explained in more detail, you shouldn't be trying to handle English.

    2. Point two of "how to fail at stats"... ignore a source of statistics by arguing that a sample is "compromised". If you look at those stats from the "all", then drill down, and go up, look at the lower and upper bars and note they're not the same, look at the Whole Steam stats on the front page, look at the stats on other games and get a feel for them, then you "might" start to understand them. Obviously you haven't.

    1. Suggested? Yes you can suggest it but you can just as easily suggest it without trying hold up bad data as support. Yes, its concievable that STO is a contributing factor but as with so many things in this house of cards you've built up for yourself it relies exclusively on selective interpertation and a very dim view of what the limitations are of your data.

    Take the point that what you cited doesn't really support what you're trying to say like a reasonable adult (ie. one that doesn't resort to parroting) and keep your opinion to the subjective grounds on which it is truly based.

    2. The data is OBVIOUSLY compromised. Here's it in more detail: short term data is not reported the same as long term. They OBVIOUSLY apply a smoothing factor which makes any comparison of population in the near term with the long term UNRELIABLE (because of the variation introduced by the smoothing factor.) Just take alook at the data that we CAN say something for on steam (ignoring the other issue too that it only represents an unspecified sample rather than the total population). Basically, from September to now. There's a jump in October (duh) and a decline afterwards but we're only down to WHERE WE WERE BEFORE DR.

    This is why you look at your data in more detail (rather than jumping to a convenient conclusion at the first oppotunity.) It helps to keep you from making specious arguments.
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  • ddesjardinsddesjardins Member Posts: 3,056 Media Corps
    edited December 2014
    The OP's comments are a matter of perspective.

    In terms of Deleta Risings content, the story has been excellent and engaging.

    In terms of the meta changes to the game and the ridiculous amount of bugs, DR has been an unmitigated disaster from a players perspective. That's where the devs impression skews from the players; DR is profitable, it slowed progression, and it launched with virtually no server downtime.

    Given the number of unique changes to game, it's not surprising they've (Cryptic) had to make changes. Over the past few weeks the developers have slowly been tweaking and patching to restore some semblance of order back into the game.

    Its in those changes, and the time it's taken to straighten out the bugs that many players feel that Cryptic dropped the ball. Theres been a drop in the number of active players and many of us expressed our displeasure here and in public.

    Tomorrow the R&D updates will be launched. It's a huge step forward.

    I am hopeful.
  • walshicuswalshicus Member Posts: 1,314 Arc User
    edited December 2014
    janus1975 wrote: »
    Like I said, unless there's a reason to believe that there has been some sort of shift out of Steam and into some other launch between two months ago and now, there's no reason to believe that downward trend is anything but a downward trend. Considering the complaints about queues and lack of players etc, there's no reason to look for what everyone's logging into now.

    Perhaps you should stop trying to be such an armchair statistician. You're not very good at it.

    We know there *is* a trend toward players moving from Steam to Arc, and we know that new players are pushed to Arc and not Steam by marketing. We don't know the scale of that shift or indeed what percentage Steam represents at any point in time.

    I'm not an armchair statistician. I'm a ****ing professional. You're the lunatic who's trying to interpret data to say something he knows it can't by definition.
    http://mmo-economics.com - analysing the economic interactions in MMOs.
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