Probability for Sage Ice Dragon in random books

Xegeth - Dreamweaver
Xegeth - Dreamweaver Posts: 389 Arc User
edited March 2010 in Wizard
Hey there,

Since I am approaching lvl99, I have been gambling for the "legendary" Ice Dragon strike for a while now. Funny enough, I used four attempts so far and got:

1.) FoW 2.) BT 3.) MS 4.) GS

I am kinda happy that I didn't get a double book so far, but the most important thing is still missing. b:sad

I heard from a lotta people, that the distribution in those random books innot even and that sage ice dragon is like 5% or even 1%...

Sure, the skills I got seem like an even distribution, but four tries is not very significant.

Is it true that the Ice Dragon is that rare, or is it just another myth? I would laugh if I get it as my final book... Need to run some more cubes...

Take care,
xeg
[SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
Post edited by Xegeth - Dreamweaver on
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Comments

  • SurferGirl - Dreamweaver
    SurferGirl - Dreamweaver Posts: 415 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Xegeth - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    Hey there,

    Since I am approaching lvl99, I have been gambling for the "legendary" Ice Dragon strike for a while now. Funny enough, I used four attempts so far and got:

    1.) FoW 2.) BT 3.) MS 4.) GS

    I am kinda happy that I didn't get a double book so far, but the most important thing is still missing. b:sad

    I heard from a lotta people, that the distribution in those random books innot even and that sage ice dragon is like 5% or even 1%...

    Sure, the skills I got seem like an even distribution, but four tries is not very significant.

    Is it true that the Ice Dragon is that rare, or is it just another myth? I would laugh if I get it as my final book... Need to run some more cubes...

    Take care,
    xeg

    gz for getting sanre X sorry it wasnt BID >< but dw im sure u will get it :D ok now seriously i gotta go xD be back in faw hrs
  • Xegeth - Dreamweaver
    Xegeth - Dreamweaver Posts: 389 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Thank you. :) At least it is better than some skill I already have.. Now I will waste my time doing cube runs and looking for cheap offers around arch and AH again.. Maybe I am lucky next try.
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • Kristoph - Lost City
    Kristoph - Lost City Posts: 2,016 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    1) Ice Dragon
    2) Snare
    3) Ice Dragon


    Didn't bother opening more, since I already had Snare/FoW from the adv. page trade and got BT by trading Dragon for it. Seize will pop up some day I'm sure. But no, the chance of getting Ice Dragon isn't lower. Some people are just unlucky.
    Wondering how much longer these **** packs are going to be around.
  • Shadowvzs - Lost City
    Shadowvzs - Lost City Posts: 877 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Xegeth - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    Hey there,

    Since I am approaching lvl99, I have been gambling for the "legendary" Ice Dragon strike for a while now. Funny enough, I used four attempts so far and got:

    1.) FoW 2.) BT 3.) MS 4.) GS

    I am kinda happy that I didn't get a double book so far, but the most important thing is still missing. b:sad

    I heard from a lotta people, that the distribution in those random books innot even and that sage ice dragon is like 5% or even 1%...

    Sure, the skills I got seem like an even distribution, but four tries is not very significant.

    Is it true that the Ice Dragon is that rare, or is it just another myth? I would laugh if I get it as my final book... Need to run some more cubes...

    Take care,
    xeg

    same 20% for every 99 book

    (i got gs 1st time :/)
  • Astarielle - Heavens Tear
    Astarielle - Heavens Tear Posts: 65 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    I've made 3 Force of Wills and 3 Glacial Snares b:cry

    Last one I made Blade Tempest though so hopefully my luck has changed and I will be 8th time lucky.

    I check AH at least 2x a day and haven't seen sage BIDS for about 6 months... (nor Dragon Breath and Stone Barrier only once but I got outbid with 0 mins on the clockb:cry)
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
    b:surprised b:chuckle
  • Shevanel - Sanctuary
    Shevanel - Sanctuary Posts: 436 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    I got really lucky with sage Stone Barrier. BM got a book drop from his fb99 in my faction. Paid 700k for it. Never seen it or Demon in the AH though.
    Koiz - omfg my life is now complete
    Shevanel - haha oh?
    ~~~
    Koiz - i took this massive dump
    Koiz - while listening to im on a boat hahahah
    Shevanel - hahahahaha
    Shevanel - haha
    Shevanel - Oh wow

    Certain levels of Boredom..
    ThaMessiah: I'd rather endlessly wack it till I shot a load that hits my ceiling than do a 3-2
  • Aquagirl - Raging Tide
    Aquagirl - Raging Tide Posts: 103 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    gratz.
    Demon SB is rare, kinda' like Sage BIDS
  • Shadowvzs - Lost City
    Shadowvzs - Lost City Posts: 877 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Aquagirl - Raging Tide wrote: »
    gratz.
    Demon SB is rare, kinda' like Sage BIDS

    far no, demon stone barrier u can get in bh99 with **** low drop rate and sage water ulti with 20% cahnce and with chapters
  • FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver
    FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver Posts: 463 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Kristoph - Lost City wrote: »
    1) Ice Dragon
    2) Snare
    3) Ice Dragon


    Didn't bother opening more, since I already had Snare/FoW from the adv. page trade and got BT by trading Dragon for it. Seize will pop up some day I'm sure. But no, the chance of getting Ice Dragon isn't lower. Some people are just unlucky.

    this made me cry. b:cry

    life is sooooo unfair b:surrender
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • Aquagirl - Raging Tide
    Aquagirl - Raging Tide Posts: 103 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    yeah, riiight, and you at 78 really feel the pain of a 99 wizard that doesn't have BIDS.
    STFU and GTFO of forums.
    You're dead if a mob does as much as sneeze upon you, and you jump in the bandwagon crying about Sage BIDS? Pathetic.
  • Xegeth - Dreamweaver
    Xegeth - Dreamweaver Posts: 389 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Kristoph, I officially hate you. b:cry Well not really, but I want that book. On our server everyone seems to be so unlucky about that. Made me think it really has a lower chance... Meh, I just have to keep on trying I guess, would be awesome to get the five different books in five tries. But I somehow doubt that.

    And at level 78 BIDS is really the last thing you have to worry about... You may enter the QQ club when you have opened at least three books. =P
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver
    FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver Posts: 463 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Aquagirl - Raging Tide wrote: »
    yeah, riiight, and you at 78 really feel the pain of a 99 wizard that doesn't have BIDS.
    STFU and GTFO of forums.
    You're dead if a mob does as much as sneeze upon you, and you jump in the bandwagon crying about Sage BIDS? Pathetic.

    who the hell told u that i am not higher than 78,why dont u GTFO yourself.
    U are a lv5 psy, and I am pathetic? What a moron....b:angry
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • SurferGirl - Dreamweaver
    SurferGirl - Dreamweaver Posts: 415 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    who the hell told u that i am not higher than 78, GTFO yourself.
    and u are a lv5 psy, and I am pathetic. What a moron....b:angry

    i suggest u start posting on ur real wiz(if u have one that is)

    im back X :D and dw u wil lget ur sage bid im sure of that!b:victory
  • FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver
    FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver Posts: 463 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    SurferGirl - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    i suggest u start posting on ur real wiz(if u have one that is)

    im back X :D and dw u wil lget ur sage bid im sure of that!b:victory

    seems so, but i dont want to lose all this post counts.


    if ppl think twice b4 they shut out BS, like this above u, i didnt have to switch avatar
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • Adroit - Lost City
    Adroit - Lost City Posts: 4,628 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    seems so, but i dont want to lose all this post counts.


    if ppl think twice b4 they shut out BS, like this above u, i didnt have to switch avatar

    so I'm curious, what level is your imaginary wizard?
    Youtube Channel: youtube.com/user/D2VeT/videos?flow=grid&view=0
    Current gear: pwcalc.com/6ab2893fbfb080a8
    [SIGPIC]http://tinypic.com/view.php?pic=684hgk&s=5[/SIGPIC]
  • FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver
    FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver Posts: 463 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Adroit - Lost City wrote: »
    so I'm curious, what level is your imaginary wizard?

    my imaginary wiz is lv105, but thats my imaginary 1
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • Mizuoni - Dreamweaver
    Mizuoni - Dreamweaver Posts: 3,533 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    FireWizardEX - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    seems so, but i dont want to lose all this post counts.


    if ppl think twice b4 they shut out BS, like this above u, i didnt have to switch avatar

    like 461 posts is that hard to do....b:bye
    Sins are Scissors. Psychics are Rocks.
    Archers, Venos, Barbs, Wizards, BMs, Mystics, Seekers are Paper.
    ...and Clerics are Mushrooms.
    Paper beats Rock. Scissors beats Paper. Scissors also happens to beat Rock...until Rock gets 50k+ soulforce at which point Rock becomes an unstoppable killing machine that beats Paper... and would beat Scissors but it can't find Scissors, because Scissors are invisible.
    So Scissors beat Paper and avoids Rock, and that is called BALANCE. -cheze
  • SurferGirl - Dreamweaver
    SurferGirl - Dreamweaver Posts: 415 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    lets not make this a i hate firewiz thread.. fire dont be silly no1 cares for post counts post ur real avatar it wil make ppl take u more seriously
  • MagicHamsta - Lost City
    MagicHamsta - Lost City Posts: 10,466 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Mizuoni - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    like 461 posts is that hard to do....b:bye

    b:sweat
    <----b:cold
    me not sure how me ended up with this....
    darthpanda16: Firefox crashed on me. Aryannamage: I don't think I am a GM that would be new.
    Hawk:Do this. closing thread
    frankieraye: I'll see if we can replace the woman with a stick figure and the tiger fangs with marshmallows.//Issues like these need to get escalated quickly to minimize the damage.
    Kantorek: Yeah.. you should try it. It's awesome.
    Sihndra: Nope- not currently possible under any circumstances. Sorry.
    LokisDottir: I mean...not haunting the forums, nope nope..
    Konariraiden: You don't know what you are up against. You will lose.
    Waiting for...Hamster Packs!
    58% chance to get tokens
    41% chance to get an all class pet hamster....but they has already been freed by the magic hamster.
    1% chance to get ban hamstered with the message "Hamsters United!"
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • Amour - Lost City
    Amour - Lost City Posts: 1,825 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    I made 6 Snares 3 FoW and 3 Mountain's before I got dragon.
    But I doubt you'll ever find one to buy/trade for.
    "Amour is better suited to rainbow text, because he is a classy lady." - Nakhimov
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • _Vivio_ - Sanctuary
    _Vivio_ - Sanctuary Posts: 141 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    1st try I got Blade Tempest. 2nd try I got Glacial Snare. 3rd try I got Sage BIDS.

    Probably no ones going to be selling that skill and if they do it'll be for a really jacked up price that you'd rather keep trying to use pages of fate to get it instead.
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
    Being a wiz is awesome b:dirtyb:dirty

    Sig damage is before facebook Jones Blessings were in game with lunar wand.

    Rank8 Wizard as of October 22, 2010 b:pleased
  • Mumintroll - Heavens Tear
    Mumintroll - Heavens Tear Posts: 3,393 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    As I know my luck, I will never made it.b:angryb:cry
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • Damaged - Lost City
    Damaged - Lost City Posts: 460 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    1) Dragon
    2) Dragon
    3) Dragon
    4) FoW
    5) GS
    6) Dragon

    stopped
  • Konariraiden - Heavens Tear
    Konariraiden - Heavens Tear Posts: 6,505 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    I got my Sage BIDS for free.

    b:cute
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]

    Yeah, it's me. Don't read to much into it, though; I'm only here for myself now, killin' time and chillin' when need-be. So sue me. Tch...
  • BrownflameZ - Lost City
    BrownflameZ - Lost City Posts: 416 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Damaged - Lost City wrote: »
    1) Dragon
    2) Dragon
    3) Dragon
    4) FoW
    5) GS
    6) Dragon

    stopped



    Demon Dragons dont count b:infuriated
    Mizuoni - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    like 461 posts is that hard to do....b:bye

    Saying "THIS"after quoting someone elses post shouldnt be taken into consideration. IJS.
    I Think I just cut your post count in half =O .. if not more?
  • Damaged - Lost City
    Damaged - Lost City Posts: 460 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    BrownflameZ - Lost City wrote: »
    Demon Dragons dont count b:infuriated



    Saying "THIS"after quoting someone elses post shouldnt be taken into consideration. IJS.
    I Think I just cut your post count in half =O .. if not more?

    Same probability

    .'. counts

    ahoy!
  • Sirrobert - Dreamweaver
    Sirrobert - Dreamweaver Posts: 3,395 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    MagicHamsta - Lost City wrote: »
    b:sweat
    <----b:cold
    me not sure how me ended up with this....

    Rofl, that arrow points EXACTLY at your post countb:chuckle
    9 out of 10 voices in my head say I'm not crazy... the 10th is singing the music of tetris
  • Amy_Nailo - Lost City
    Amy_Nailo - Lost City Posts: 141 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    1) MS
    2) GS
    3) GS
    4) GS

    And got a 4th GS in the advanced mystical pages pack.

    Seeing as I never saw a sage BIDS in auction house I guess I'll just have to open more books and hope for the better.

    - Amy
  • Mage_Fizban - Dreamweaver
    Mage_Fizban - Dreamweaver Posts: 256 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    1) BT
    2 )MS
    3) FoW
    4) BT
    5) FoW
    6) BT
    7) GS
    8) BT
    9) FoW
    10) BT

    anyone need a BT? lol
  • BrownflameZ - Lost City
    BrownflameZ - Lost City Posts: 416 Arc User
    edited February 2010
    Mage_Fizban - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    1) BT
    2 )MS
    3) FoW
    4) BT
    5) FoW
    6) BT
    7) GS
    8) BT
    9) FoW
    10) BT

    anyone need a BT? lol


    300k a page.. 90m failing on skills =|
    Good game.

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