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Star Gauntlet Theory

nathanmehew2435nathanmehew2435 Member Posts: 140 Arc User
edited February 2014 in PvE Discussion
Yep as you guessed it i put a few copy's of my char onto the test shard to see the chances of the new Gauntlets to get the artifact, And as you guessed once again only 1/104 will get you the artifact. appalling to know a BOP item has such ridicules chances. Not happy at all Cryptic.
What do you guys think about this it'd be interesting to see your guys inputs on this.

Just thought id point out that i opened 40 before i got the artifact so maybe it might be a case of you can only have 1 per char and once you have one you don't get another but even then 1/40 to get one is still a bad chance since you could only open 1 per day before this recent update
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Comments

  • eldartheldarth Member Posts: 4,494 Arc User
    edited February 2014
  • charononuscharononus Member Posts: 5,715 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    You probably need a minimum of 1000 pulls to really try to get the percentage, and even then that would be a small sample size with a large factor for error.
  • nathanmehew2435nathanmehew2435 Member Posts: 140 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Well that's what i have and it took a fair while to set up i am sorry i didn't have more at the time but you will have to go with what i have gotten unless you want to test it yourself with more of them
  • nameexpirednameexpired Member Posts: 1,282 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    [...] so maybe it might be a case of you can only have 1 per char and once you have one you don't get another but even then 1/40 to get one is still a bad chance since you could only open 1 per day before this recent update

    I have 10 toons, 3 already have 2 artifacts, 3 have 1, 4 are still blind to Lathander.

    Open the quest with most toons on most days, since they can open those.
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  • tang56tang56 Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Guardian Users, Neverwinter Knight of the Feywild Users Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    I know a guildie used over 500 before pulling an Eye of Lathander.
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  • kirkcaldykirkcaldy Member Posts: 166 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Have just finished using one in Dread Spire and got 2 Peridot ffs. :(
    So anyone that gets any better than that is lucky, in my book.

    :confused:
  • imsmithyimsmithy Member Posts: 1,378 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    I'd guess that it isn't intended to give better chance of a artifact drop ,its probably been made available to allow players to run the lairs more than the one time per day that we could with the Adamantine gauntlet.
  • loboguildloboguild Member Posts: 2,371 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Then why would they make it legendary if the drop chances were the same? On the other hand, confusing everybody on the real value of items seems to be this lockboxes trademark. Maybe the Gauntlet is only legendary in terms of rarity and appearance (orange border ftw!).
  • tickdofftickdoff Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    loboguild wrote: »
    Then why would they make it legendary if the drop chances were the same? On the other hand, confusing everybody on the real value of items seems to be this lockboxes trademark. Maybe the Gauntlet is only legendary in terms of rarity and appearance (orange border ftw!).

    It is "Legendary" because it allows you to open more than 1 Arcane Coffer per day. That's it. It is simply a small bonus item to go along with the scrolls and script that you get with the relic turn in, nothing more.

    I agree that calling it a "LEGENDARY" item is rather confusing because there is nothing really legendary about it.
  • dethsdezyndethsdezyn Member, Neverwinter Beta Users Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    NO luck with artifacts for me either. It is nice if you have multiple sacks, you can open w/star and reg gauntlet, and then keep opening with other stars, and ya don't have to redo the dungeon.
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  • jester000jester000 Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Guardian Users Posts: 55
    edited February 2014
    I thought for a moment that the drop rate for Lathander had been reduced, I got 3 in 3 runs on my gwf (I bet someone starts another "nerf gwf" thread), but now I'm back to the land of the peridots
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  • loboguildloboguild Member Posts: 2,371 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    dethsdezyn wrote: »
    NO luck with artifacts for me either. It is nice if you have multiple sacks, you can open w/star and reg gauntlet, and then keep opening with other stars, and ya don't have to redo the dungeon.

    I just realized I could have saved a lot of time in the last two days...

    Does it only work in this particular order or can you interact with the Chest as long as you have Gauntlets?
  • beckylunaticbeckylunatic Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 14,231 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Pretty sure it would be a moot point, unless the game actually allows you to choose which gauntlet to use when you're holding both kinds.

    The message on the arcane coffer is to the effect of "you need a gauntlet to open this". If holding multiples, just keep clicking until they're gone.
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  • imsmithyimsmithy Member Posts: 1,378 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Yeah Beckylunatic is correct , I used 5 that I had gotten plus the Adamantine , when I interacted with the chest it automatically used the Star metal first (because it was first in my bag I guess ) then the Adamantine then I had to open the rest of the Thayan sacks one at a time because you can only hold one legendary gauntlet in your inventory at a time , I ended up getting 3 Aquamarines and 2 green marks from the Legendary gauntlets but got so sick of waiting on the artifact that I caved and bought a Water , no doubt I'll get the stupid artifact tomorrow now that I bought the Waters one -.-
  • loboguildloboguild Member Posts: 2,371 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    That is good news at least. I'm eager to put the Dread Ring campaign to rest on some toons and the Artifact is the only thing missing on most of them.
  • frishterfrishter Member Posts: 3,522 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    1% drop rate sounds about right. Completely ridiculous and also disappointing that it nets the same loot and drop rate as the epic. There's a reason why it costs less than a quarter of a key. How legendary...
  • degraafinationdegraafination Member, Neverwinter Beta Users Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Guild member dropped 250 before getting it. Yep, not a good drop rate at all.

    Next thing you know they're come out with a Legendary Mount that has no different stats than the Epic ones! Imagine that!
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  • imsmithyimsmithy Member Posts: 1,378 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Guild member dropped 250 before getting it. Yep, not a good drop rate at all.

    Wow , if I used 250 and still didn't get one I'd be like this (link was removed)- (but screaming in English not German xD )
  • izatarizatar Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 1,161 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    I have a guildy who has 5 toons that he has run everyday with the adamantine gauntlet from about day 3 of the event (he leveled up his gauntlets with stuff from lockboxes, he also buys the star gauntlets quite often). I estimate maybe 250 coffers until he got an Eye.
  • readytoredrumreadytoredrum Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 65 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Too small of a sample size.
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  • edited February 2014
    This content has been removed.
  • readytoredrumreadytoredrum Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 65 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    macjae wrote: »
    The sample size is more than adequate to tell us there's a pretty good chance that the chance of getting the artifact is very low.

    Well then OP better edit his title and his post because it states and heavily implies that the chance is near or close to 1/104 (in fact, he stated that that is the exact percentage).

    Again, too low of a sample size to indicate that the chances are somewhere around 1/104.

    It is "low" yes I think we all got that OP, it is SUPPOSED to be low or else its value would greatly be diminished.
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  • toxic9721toxic9721 Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 3 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    i have used over 700 star metal gauntlets and still have not been awarded the eye to date. so GL people. :(

    just used another 150 and no luck total to 850. ill update when i do receive it :/


    *** received Eye of lathander at 910 star metals. happy hunting people
  • loboguildloboguild Member Posts: 2,371 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Well, you might be unable to determine the exact % with the data given in this thread, but 700 consecutive misses rule out a wide range of possible numbers. This would set the drop rate well below 1/104. Yikes.
  • sean99999sean99999 Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Hero Users, Neverwinter Knight of the Feywild Users Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    I've spent about 160 so far. Nothing.
  • meldan3nmeldan3n Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    Yep as you guessed it i put a few copy's of my char onto the test shard to see the chances of the new Gauntlets to get the artifact, And as you guessed once again only 1/104 will get you the artifact. appalling to know a BOP item has such ridicules chances. Not happy at all Cryptic.
    What do you guys think about this it'd be interesting to see your guys inputs on this.

    Just thought id point out that i opened 40 before i got the artifact so maybe it might be a case of you can only have 1 per char and once you have one you don't get another but even then 1/40 to get one is still a bad chance since you could only open 1 per day before this recent update

    Lucky *******! I got mine after 562 Star Metal Gauntlets. And chances are far less than 1 %. You were just lucky. I base it on the experience of multiple friends who all got it after about 300 - 500 gauntlets. One got it after 610.
    Guild member dropped 250 before getting it. Yep, not a good drop rate at all.

    Next thing you know they're come out with a Legendary Mount that has no different stats than the Epic ones! Imagine that!

    If you're referring to me, it was 350, and before that 230 (from the unsuccessful straight opening before the 350). So, basically, 580 Gauntlets. I got the Eye when I had 18 left.
    imsmithy wrote: »
    Wow , if I used 250 and still didn't get one I'd be like this (link was removed)- (but screaming in English not German xD )

    This is exactly what happened after my first 230. :p
  • krimbarbarrojakrimbarbarroja Member Posts: 125 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    - Put the artifact in sale for 2k scrips.

    - Leave the drop rate as it is, and call it a miracle if the artifact actually drops (since it more or less is).

    - Kill 2 birds in 1 shot.

    - Win.
  • ironzerg79ironzerg79 Member, Neverwinter Moderator, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 4,942 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    I can't believe you guys are using hundreds of gauntlets...how are you even getting that many? There's only around 100ish fragments up on the AH at any one time. And buying those would cost millions and millions of AD, far more than the artifact is worth.

    Otherwise, you must be spending thousands of dollars to get something that's...just ok.
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  • iambecks1iambecks1 Member Posts: 4,044 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    toxic9721 wrote: »
    i have used over 700 star metal gauntlets and still have not been awarded the eye to date. so GL people. :(

    just used another 150 and no luck total to 850. ill update when i do receive it :/


    *** received Eye of lathander at 910 star metals. happy hunting people

    Wow and I thought I was unlucky getting it after between 150 - 180 didn't keep an exact count.
    ironzerg79 wrote: »
    I can't believe you guys are using hundreds of gauntlets...how are you even getting that many? There's only around 100ish fragments up on the AH at any one time. And buying those would cost millions and millions of AD, far more than the artifact is worth.

    Otherwise, you must be spending thousands of dollars to get something that's...just ok.

    With me it became an obsession ,I kept buying batches of 30 - 40 and kept telling myself this is the last time lol , still Tymoras gift should more than make up for the AD I spent buying the Gauntlets.
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  • loboguildloboguild Member Posts: 2,371 Arc User
    edited February 2014
    ironzerg79 wrote: »
    I can't believe you guys are using hundreds of gauntlets...how are you even getting that many? There's only around 100ish fragments up on the AH at any one time. And buying those would cost millions and millions of AD, far more than the artifact is worth.

    Otherwise, you must be spending thousands of dollars to get something that's...just ok.

    On the other hand: It's still easier to obtain and cheaper than Seldarine and the Shard.
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