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Beholder Personal Tank drop rate estimate
randomdigits
Member Posts: 700 Arc User
Here is some math and other observation around the legendary mount you could in theory receive from this week's Portobello Artificier's Workshop event dungeon.
Facts of the matter: the dungeon drops Beholder Personal Tank mount, lootable from the flying beholder, as well as event-theme Portobello's Mitre headwear in the reward dungeon. As of this moment, AH has 10 mounts and around 500 mitres for sale. It also took me 33 runs to get the mitre from the reward chest. That gives, under obvious assumptions, a drop rate of 1:1650. I should be able to make more accurate estimate once I see a few more mitres drop in the chest.
Other interesting stats: average dungeon run time is ~8.5 min with a PUG, shortest run time from queueing to next queueing I've observed so far was around 6:15 min (with exactly 1:00 min spent in cut scenes). This, together with the mount drop rate estimate and its current price of 12.5M AD gives an approximate return of investment around 53.5K AD per hour, though you chance of actually getting the mount if farming 2 hours a day for the next 20 days is about 1:8.
Good luck!
Facts of the matter: the dungeon drops Beholder Personal Tank mount, lootable from the flying beholder, as well as event-theme Portobello's Mitre headwear in the reward dungeon. As of this moment, AH has 10 mounts and around 500 mitres for sale. It also took me 33 runs to get the mitre from the reward chest. That gives, under obvious assumptions, a drop rate of 1:1650. I should be able to make more accurate estimate once I see a few more mitres drop in the chest.
Other interesting stats: average dungeon run time is ~8.5 min with a PUG, shortest run time from queueing to next queueing I've observed so far was around 6:15 min (with exactly 1:00 min spent in cut scenes). This, together with the mount drop rate estimate and its current price of 12.5M AD gives an approximate return of investment around 53.5K AD per hour, though you chance of actually getting the mount if farming 2 hours a day for the next 20 days is about 1:8.
Good luck!
Ana Taletreader (CW) / Friend of Casual Gamers
Post edited by randomdigits#2166 on
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Comments
P.S. Price is down to 10.5m AD, getting closer to the 8.2 m AD for the cheapest legendary mount over there.
Do you play the game to have fun, get online and do things with friends; or to go, "Oh looky, I got the Lengendary Flaming Unicorn that Poops Rainbow Stars. Ain't I special."
Thousands of people don't get the tank everyday either. So many things in this game are just the latest thing that will be out of date in a couple of months when the new latest thing comes around. People take games way to seriously and I have to wonder how they handle problems in real life.
If this upsets you this much, maybe you should stop playing all together, or at lead take a break.
Off-topic: the event has it's fun moments - like those funny campaign and gear comments devs put in, but there isn't really any loot to rationally grind for a typical endgamer - for 20+ days. So, quiet times're ahead - with my daily playing time down to 30-60 min - quick run of River District daily and a maybe a couple of IG runs - that's it until the 2xRP or the next mod arrives. Perhaps I'll finally get that last WoD boon.
Stuff like the Beholder Tank are Jackpot prizes. If you're farming this event with any degree of expectation (rather than extreme hope) of hitting the big prize, you are most likely to be disappointed.
Most events like this are easy for end game players, and that's because they are generic.
This means that anyone can win the jackpot.
Once again, its back to the lottery analogy. The lotto company won't give you the jackpot just because you bought ten thousand tickets and didn't win. They won't make the jackpot easier to win either, or it stops being special.
Jackpot prizes won by new players with L40 or whatever characters are a chance for them to flog the prize on the AH and make millions. Just like in real lotteries or raffles.
There IS a way to get a Beholder Tank without farming Portobello or dropping lucky on Glorious Resurgence.
Since the last Portobellos Game finished, I'm fairly confident that there has rarely, if ever, NOT been one or more for sale on the AH.
So if you want to farm for a Beholder Tank, or any other Jackpot prize, you are statistically far, far, more likely to get it by farming AD, even though that will likely take much longer.