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eternal flame lockbox probabilities?

undulationsundulations Member Posts: 40 Arc User
edited June 2015 in General Discussion (PC)
I'm just wondering if anyone knows of documentation explaining, or otherwise knows the probability of getting the good gear from lockboxes. I'm ashamed to say I spend $40 opening 32 boxes... I got 30 professions packs and some other junk, nothing worth more than 80k AD. Is that typical, do you need to open a hundred lockboxes to get a legendary mount?
Post edited by undulations on

Comments

  • edited June 2015
    This content has been removed.
  • namelesshero347namelesshero347 Member Posts: 2,109 Arc User
    edited June 2015
    Drop rate for the top prize is very low. Will be like winning the lottery. If you really want the item from the drop box, better to just buy it from the AH.
  • carrytiexcarrytiex Member Posts: 231 Arc User
    edited June 2015
    Try about 5000 for a legendary mount.
  • undulationsundulations Member Posts: 40 Arc User
    edited June 2015
    Wow so bottom line there's no reason to buy enchanted keys, just convert the zen to AD.
  • eldartheldarth Member Posts: 4,494 Arc User
    edited June 2015
  • namelesshero347namelesshero347 Member Posts: 2,109 Arc User
    edited June 2015
    Wow so bottom line there's no reason to buy enchanted keys, just convert the zen to AD.

    you buy keys to have fun. If you buy keys expecting the mount, you will be disappointed.
  • myles08807myles08807 Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 409 Arc User
    edited June 2015
    Since every attempt at opening a lockbox is a separate event that in no way affects or is affected by however many lockboxes you have previously opened, the chance of pulling a legendary mount out of any one box does not change regardless of the number you open. You might find one on your first try, you might never find one. It's gambling, pure and simple, and the house always has the advantage in gambling. I'm not saying I've never gambled...but expect the worst, as Ben Franklin said, and any other result will be a pleasant surprise.
  • edited June 2015
    This content has been removed.
  • yokki1yokki1 Member Posts: 451 Arc User
    edited June 2015
    yea 2000 - 5000 keys before a legendary mount dropped on test server, so pitiful

    for the disc it was a 1/6000 chance to get it.
  • suicidalgodotsuicidalgodot Member Posts: 2,465 Arc User
    edited June 2015
    p<You get legendary mount> = 0.0005
    p<Cryptic profits massively> = 1.0
    p<You spend way more than you want to> >0.9999
  • grogthemagnifgrogthemagnif Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 1,651 Arc User
    I have several Legendary mounts, but I rarely open more than 10 of any lockbox at a time. One time recently I opened 1 lockbox looking for a BI kit (I needed 1 Green Gauntlet to upgrade to Blue) and got Oghma's Artifact instead. Just luck.
  • bioshrikebioshrike Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 4,729 Arc User
    I open lockboxes with no expectation of getting anything good; that way, I'm never disappointed. That being said, the only time I buy keys nowadays is if/when I get one of the 40% off coupons...
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  • eldartheldarth Member Posts: 4,494 Arc User
    bioshrike wrote: »
    I open lockboxes with no expectation of getting anything good; that way, I'm never disappointed. That being said, the only time I buy keys nowadays is if/when I get one of the 40% off coupons...

    I don't even do that -- $1.25 per key?!? Even Vegas has WAY cheaper slot machines for much better payoffs.​​
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