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Forums > Home› Neverwinter Discussion › Player Feedback (PC)

Refining items success chance

kittendkittend Member Posts: 21 Arc User
in Player Feedback (PC)
i dont understand y an item with 10% chance has max 15 tries should it not b 10 tires before guarantee? same for items with a 1% chance should be after 100 tries not 150 becasue then its not 10% anymore or 1% chance so i would like it to be respect to make it accurate
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Comments

  • greywyndgreywynd Member, NW M9 Playtest Posts: 7,092 Arc User
    Because it doesn't reflect a cumulative chance effect? More in line with reality of the game's RNG.
    I'm not looking for forgiveness, and I'm way past asking permission. Earth just lost her best defender, so we're here to fight. And if you want to stand in our way, we'll fight you too.
  • mdarkangel#4696 mdarkangel
    mdarkangel#4696
         Member Posts: 442 Arc User
    It was stated, when it was implemented, that guaranteed success would be 1.5 times.
  • theraxin#5169 theraxin
    theraxin#5169
         Member Posts: 370 Arc User
    edited September 2019
    Yep, as stated, cumulative chance is way more tricky than additive. The chance of failing with 1% success 150 times is 0,99^150 = ~22,15% and after you get the guaranteed success. 0,99 is the chance of fail, because it's 150 consecutive fail.

    With 10, 90% fail rate 0,90^15 = ~20,6%

    As seen, these caps can be reached 1 in 5 times in average.
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