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Now that the dil market has been fixed...

mciannmciann Member Posts: 29 Arc User
Can we have our epic phoenix upgrades back? This placed a substantial burden on new characters and players. I think that in the interest in the ongoing health of the game, it would be good to reconsider the decision to make upgrades 25% more expensive than they had been.
Post edited by baddmoonrizin on

Comments

  • spacehermitspacehermit Member Posts: 358 Arc User
    It's not really "fixed" yet is it? Just less broken than a few months back.
  • realdarklordrealdarklord Member Posts: 101 Arc User
    Unfortunately the opposite is true.
    If this has helped the dil-exchange, we need to keep it that way for the ongoing health of the game.
    Reverting the changes would immediately affecte the dil-exchange. This isn't something you fix once and then it stays fixed. It depends on the effective dil-sinks, and this is one of them.
  • qultuqqultuq Member Posts: 989 Arc User
    edited January 2023
    Fixed?! Better?! What are you on about?! The current duration test is 40 days. It was more like a month in October. That is objectively worse today—not better. The backlog shrunk a little while the vanity shield sale was going on, but it is still worse today than it was two months, six months or almost 2 years ago when we hit the exchange cap. How are you measuring improvement?

    https://www.arcgames.com/en/forums/startrekonline/#/discussion/1268428/dilithium-exchange-duration-testing
  • sierra078sierra078 Member Posts: 335 Arc User
    Did I miss something? There weren't any patch notes yesterday.
  • tom61stotom61sto Member Posts: 3,673 Arc User
    sierra078 wrote: »
    Did I miss something? There weren't any patch notes yesterday.

    The Dil Exchange is going down, and has been shortly before the sale that brought back Vanity shields for Dilithium, likely do the banning of bots. Details on the botting issue, beyond that it's against the EULA for the game, can't be talked about in detail or linked.
  • mciannmciann Member Posts: 29 Arc User
    Unfortunately the opposite is true.
    If this has helped the dil-exchange, we need to keep it that way for the ongoing health of the game.
    Reverting the changes would immediately affecte the dil-exchange. This isn't something you fix once and then it stays fixed. It depends on the effective dil-sinks, and this is one of them.

    Is your point that dil sinks are inherently and completely good, with no balancing test or knock-on unintended consequences? If that's the case, then why not have a "Great Burn" event where everyone's dil inventory (refined or not) instantly drops to zero? By your analysis above, wouldn't that be all the better?
  • husanakxhusanakx Member Posts: 1,608 Arc User
    The narrative that the drop in the backlog has anything to do with bot banning is just that.
    The truth is fewer people are buying Dill. Its simple... backlog was up to 12 million wait was 30-35 days. Backlog was at 8.5 million wait was 30-35 days.

    There are demonstratively fewer people buying dill with zen.

    I believe Cryptic has made a few small changes that have helped. One of them was neutering the phoenix upgrades a little bit. Reverse that and you reverse the positive effect it had completely. Unfortunately they also seem to be bleeding paying customers... so the net effect seems to be zero so far.

    I would love to be wrong... backlog is down to 7.9 as I write this. My most recent dill offer was posted on the 8th. If I remember I'll respond to this post when that sale goes through. I am betting the weekend of February 10th. If it goes sooner I may be wrong.
  • baddmoonrizinbaddmoonrizin Member Posts: 10,897 Community Moderator
    mciann wrote: »
    Unfortunately the opposite is true.
    If this has helped the dil-exchange, we need to keep it that way for the ongoing health of the game.
    Reverting the changes would immediately affecte the dil-exchange. This isn't something you fix once and then it stays fixed. It depends on the effective dil-sinks, and this is one of them.

    Is your point that dil sinks are inherently and completely good, with no balancing test or knock-on unintended consequences? If that's the case, then why not have a "Great Burn" event where everyone's dil inventory (refined or not) instantly drops to zero? By your analysis above, wouldn't that be all the better?

    Wow! This is funny that you should mention this, because I said the same thing to Kael last week. 😆
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  • nixie50nixie50 Member Posts: 1,342 Arc User
    You can't have a "great burn" on refined dilithium. If a player buys dilithium using Zen they bought, even one Dil of refined dilithium being "burned" is theft on the part of Cryptic and opening them up to legal action. If they did that it would be an incredibly stupid move
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  • timelords1701timelords1701 Member Posts: 556 Arc User
    nixie50 wrote: »
    You can't have a "great burn" on refined dilithium. If a player buys dilithium using Zen they bought, even one Dil of refined dilithium being "burned" is theft on the part of Cryptic and opening them up to legal action. If they did that it would be an incredibly stupid move

    Agreed,
    The biggest flame war on this forum would then erupt with all the ticked off players and dilithium buyers..
    That would not be a good day for cryptic..
  • davefenestratordavefenestrator Member Posts: 10,660 Arc User
    edited January 2023
    mciann wrote: »
    Can we have our epic phoenix upgrades back? This placed a substantial burden on new characters and players. I think that in the interest in the ongoing health of the game, it would be good to reconsider the decision to make upgrades 25% more expensive than they had been.

    I disagree. We need the ongoing dil sink, and new players can earn piles of dil through events, admiralty, TFOs, and doffing. It might take them a little longer to Mark XV everything than before the cost increase, but that's a "would be nice" level for gear not something you need.

    I will agree that the odds for earning an Epic token are terrible and could be improved. But the phoenix cost is fine as-is for other uses of the tokens.

  • baddmoonrizinbaddmoonrizin Member Posts: 10,897 Community Moderator
    nixie50 wrote: »
    You can't have a "great burn" on refined dilithium. If a player buys dilithium using Zen they bought, even one Dil of refined dilithium being "burned" is theft on the part of Cryptic and opening them up to legal action. If they did that it would be an incredibly stupid move

    Oh, of course! This was all said tongue-in-cheek. Nothing of the sort would ever be done.
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    Views and Opinions May Not Reflect the Views and Opinions of Gearbox/Cryptic
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  • khazlolkhazlol Member Posts: 167 Arc User
    maybe an update to R&D could help maintain a sink
  • leemwatsonleemwatson Member Posts: 5,468 Arc User
    husanakx wrote: »
    The narrative that the drop in the backlog has anything to do with bot banning is just that.
    The truth is fewer people are buying Dill. Its simple... backlog was up to 12 million wait was 30-35 days. Backlog was at 8.5 million wait was 30-35 days.

    There are demonstratively fewer people buying dill with zen.

    I believe Cryptic has made a few small changes that have helped. One of them was neutering the phoenix upgrades a little bit. Reverse that and you reverse the positive effect it had completely. Unfortunately they also seem to be bleeding paying customers... so the net effect seems to be zero so far.

    I would love to be wrong... backlog is down to 7.9 as I write this. My most recent dill offer was posted on the 8th. If I remember I'll respond to this post when that sale goes through. I am betting the weekend of February 10th. If it goes sooner I may be wrong.

    If the backlog has reduced, that means either folk have been buying more Dil OR folk have stopped putting Dil on OR BOTH! Your claim fewer people are buying is not really backed up by any evidence, because the evidence points to any of the scenarios in my previous sentence being the case.

    It will still take 30 days or so to clear an order till it's cycled through all the orders placed before it started to significantly drop.
    "You don't want to patrol!? You don't want to escort!? You don't want to defend the Federation's Starbases!? Then why are you flying my Starships!? If you were a Klingon you'd be killed on the spot, but lucky for you.....you WERE in Starfleet. Let's see how New Zealand Penal Colony suits you." Adm A. Necheyev.
  • husanakxhusanakx Member Posts: 1,608 Arc User
    leemwatson wrote: »
    husanakx wrote: »
    The narrative that the drop in the backlog has anything to do with bot banning is just that.
    The truth is fewer people are buying Dill. Its simple... backlog was up to 12 million wait was 30-35 days. Backlog was at 8.5 million wait was 30-35 days.

    There are demonstratively fewer people buying dill with zen.

    I believe Cryptic has made a few small changes that have helped. One of them was neutering the phoenix upgrades a little bit. Reverse that and you reverse the positive effect it had completely. Unfortunately they also seem to be bleeding paying customers... so the net effect seems to be zero so far.

    I would love to be wrong... backlog is down to 7.9 as I write this. My most recent dill offer was posted on the 8th. If I remember I'll respond to this post when that sale goes through. I am betting the weekend of February 10th. If it goes sooner I may be wrong.

    If the backlog has reduced, that means either folk have been buying more Dil OR folk have stopped putting Dil on OR BOTH! Your claim fewer people are buying is not really backed up by any evidence, because the evidence points to any of the scenarios in my previous sentence being the case.

    It will still take 30 days or so to clear an order till it's cycled through all the orders placed before it started to significantly drop.

    The time to sell is directly tied to how much money (zen) is being traded. It doesn't matter if people are posting tons of it or none of it.

    To use some easy numbers... assume the back log is at 20 million. Then down the road it drops to 10 million. Sales happen first come first serve so if the wait never changes from 30 days. That means half the number of MONEY is being traded.

    The only way a reduction in backlog correlates to shorter wait times on selling dill... is if less money is entering that mechanic. Sure its possible the people that have been buying dill are buying other things with their zen. That is the only scenario where Cryptic is still making the same amount of money. If people that used to buy Zen to trade for Dill instead are still buying zen and spending it themselves. I doubt that frankly. All evidence seems to point to STO making Cryptic less money lately.

    IME that is exactly what is happening. My friends list is pretty diverse after 12 years... and for sure fewer people I have met are still playing. Those I have heard from its always pretty much the same story. Fine with spending some money, but they like to supplement selling dill. Yes I know you can still sell Dill it just takes 30 days... but for people that are used to on a whim saying I'm going to buy this ship pack. I'll sell X amount of Dill and spend 20-30 bucks this weekend. Well they are SOL... place your order come back in 30 or 40 days.

    The exchange is not helping with player retention... and its starting to hit Cryptic in the pocket book.
  • tom61stotom61sto Member Posts: 3,673 Arc User
    Now it's back to being broken. Backlog:
    Jan 13: 7.98 Mil
    Jan 16: 8.15 Mil

    Not sure if it's just the Red Alert Event adding in from users that don't usually hit their cap, or if the 'banned users' are back at it again.
  • postagepaidpostagepaid Member Posts: 2,899 Arc User
    If a money sink isn't a long term option the best it will do is cause the exchange to have a hiccup. A soon as anyone interested in the new dil based purchases are done the sink loses its purpose.
  • husanakxhusanakx Member Posts: 1,608 Arc User
    tom61sto wrote: »
    Now it's back to being broken. Backlog:
    Jan 13: 7.98 Mil
    Jan 16: 8.15 Mil

    Not sure if it's just the Red Alert Event adding in from users that don't usually hit their cap, or if the 'banned users' are back at it again.

    It has nothing to do with banned users. The previous drop had to do with people leaving the game frankly.
    The real measure of "broken" if we are considering it as such. Is time to complete a conversion. That has not changed in months. Time to complete a transaction of Dill->another players Zen... is 30-35 days. That has been the same for 6 or 7 months now at least. When the exchange was at 12 million it was the same wait.

    That means fewer people buying Zen are trading it for Dill. Backlog is dropping the wait is not... $ is leaving the system.
  • realdarklordrealdarklord Member Posts: 101 Arc User
    edited January 2023
    husanakx wrote: »
    That means fewer people buying Zen are trading it for Dill. Backlog is dropping the wait is not...

    agreed
    husanakx wrote: »
    ...$ is leaving the system.

    No, you can't make that assumption.
    All we can conclude is that the Zen is not being spent for Dil

    A more likely explanation is that it is spent in the C-Store (lots of Sales lately) and that people are saving for the upcoming 13th anniversary pack.
  • doctorstegidoctorstegi Member Posts: 1,221 Arc User
    nixie50 wrote: »
    You can't have a "great burn" on refined dilithium. If a player buys dilithium using Zen they bought, even one Dil of refined dilithium being "burned" is theft on the part of Cryptic and opening them up to legal action. If they did that it would be an incredibly stupid move

    Oh, of course! This was all said tongue-in-cheek. Nothing of the sort would ever be done.

    Still that would be fun as an April Fools joke though...

    C-Store Inc. is still looking for active members on the fed side. If you don't have a fleet feel free to contact me in game @stegi.
  • husanakxhusanakx Member Posts: 1,608 Arc User
    husanakx wrote: »
    That means fewer people buying Zen are trading it for Dill. Backlog is dropping the wait is not...

    agreed
    husanakx wrote: »
    ...$ is leaving the system.

    No, you can't make that assumption.
    All we can conclude is that the Zen is not being spent for Dil

    A more likely explanation is that it is spent in the C-Store (lots of Sales lately) and that people are saving for the upcoming 13th anniversary pack.

    I meant that it was leaving the Zen->Dill system which it is. Are people spending it elsewhere ? Who knows maybe. Still facts are facts. Backlog is down 30% and the wait time is increasing. That means 100% real money is leaving the conversion mechanic.
  • phoenixc#0738 phoenixc Member Posts: 5,838 Arc User
    edited January 2023
    I think it is more of a case of whenever the exchange comes up in chat (especially ESD chat) the experienced players always tell the new (and returning) players that the exchange is broken and not to bother with it. Without new players buying little bits of dil for fleet projects or upgrading and whatnot to get established quickly (or conversely trying to get zen for things in the cstore) it adds up (more experienced players usually have most or all of their upgrading done and are well established in their fleets), or maybe subtracts out if you prefer that phrasing.

    As for STO's population going down overall, it isn't. Last few years it has been the more or less the 23rd most populated MMO (according to the MMO Populations site) and it is still at 23rd and following the same up and down trends as the rest of the industry for the most part (there are some unique spikes and dips on top of that due to various events of course). If anything, it is slowly gaining ground.
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