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The 16% Replication

SystemSystem Member, NoReporting Posts: 178,019 Arc User
edited July 2012 in Klingon Discussion
After listening to the latest Priority One and hearing our illustrious EP’s thoughts on Klingon development again, I can’t say as I’m surprised. When he returned I was actually the first person to publically call that he would again lean shamelessly on the numbers argument he put forth in his last tenure to justify inaction. But you know, his statements in this latest interview got me thinking: these “tests” that have been run ad nauseum, what are they? What methodology precisely has been employed in Cryptic’s gathering of these numbers to bestow us with the now 16% label? I mean the quote is VERY specific…

"We've done tests over and over again, it's going to be 16% of the player base. Cause that's what it is at Star Trek conventions, that's what it is in every other Star Trek game. It's a constant."

On conventions: so what methods were used at the Star Trek conventions? Survey? Ask around? A glance around beholding small clusters of bat’leth holding people or forehead ridges in a sea of Starfleet uniforms? What was the method that obtained the raw data? Personally I’d really love an answer to this, studies and data gathering are a hobby of mine and I’d love to replicate this study Cryptic’s apparently conducted. And I’m being quite serious here, I would like to know how many conventions these studies spanned and what method was used to obtain the raw figures. According to Mr. Stahl they’ve done it again and again as well so it should be quite simple to fill me in on the steps involved. I’m a Masters student in developmental psychology research so studies aren’t a new concept to me. I’ve participated in as many as five an academic year. So anyone from the Cryptic marketing research department wants to reply here or shoot me a PM, I’d love to know the steps employed in the convention data gathering.

On games: to the best of my knowledge the only other online Star Trek game was Activision’s ConQuest Online. So what does the scope “every other Star Trek game” cover? Like everyone from beginning of time? Let’s assume for a moment that Mr. Stahl meant computer games. For giggles I’ll throw in console games too, but it’s going to be a long list as the games on computer go back as far as the 1970s. So let’s try to distill this into some basic figures…

- Counting STO there are 49 titles available on PC since 1971, an additional 19 on console since 1979
- Of these titles, only 15 (or 31%) allowed the option of playing Klingons, and another 3 (6%) played them exclusively. Of the console games only 3 titles (16%) offered the option of playing Klingons.
- Putting together the Klingon only and optional Klingon numbers, PC games since 1979 have offered the Klingon experience 37% of the time.

With that in mind, where are the numbers coming from for “every other Star Trek game”? Other than the aforementioned two online titles, none of these game titles had an online component. Every other title was a stand alone, personal use, unit copy format. Even going off registration if people bothered to do that with their copies (I certainly never did) there was not likely a “which faction will you be playing?” question snuck in with the personal information requests. So of the other 13 titles where Klingon’s are offered as an option how is it any data exists on who preferred to play what? Are you polling your staff for their experiences with Star Trek games? Because that’s not a viable sample as it’s not large enough to be representative of the population, and could be cause of a Type 1 error. So as with my above request for the conventions, please if possible share with me the details of your tests so they might be replicated. After all, if they’ve continually come up with 16% for your studio there’s surely no harm in outlining your studies for independent verification. The best way to disprove detractors to one’s research is to ensure replication is easy to conduct and the results are constant.
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Comments

  • Archived PostArchived Post Member Posts: 2,264,498 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    The base data from Mr Stahl is already wrong. Counting convention data as baseline for a game does only include the guys they seem to have asked and exluded the rest of the audience. As well not very one who does not dress as Klingon dislikes them.

    So Cryptic bases their figures on wrong base data and is there for not holdable.
  • Archived PostArchived Post Member Posts: 2,264,498 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    People please, do you really think they actually are not completing the Klingons because of that silly argument of the (crazy) percent?, they just do not have time, do not care or both.
    I have hopes for the next seasons, maybe not 7, maybe 8 or 9, but i do have hopes, the KDF is in serious need of completion and rounding up, as well as the game itself.
  • Archived PostArchived Post Member Posts: 2,264,498 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    im with Yuxtapuestoelmono on this one, the klinks do need to be completed, the lack of playablity is really bad on the klink side, if there were more playability for them id use mine alot more as you cant be flying around the galaxy as a hard nut klink XD
  • Archived PostArchived Post Member Posts: 2,264,498 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Lets be clear here: Stahl said that there WILL be more Klingon and Faction Neutral ENDGAME content. What is off the table is rebuilding the KDF from lvl 1 since 90% of players are sitting at lvl 50, wondering what comes next.

    Also, I would say the fact that the majority of Trek games haven't even offered KDF is actually evidence in favor of Stahl's point: it is a minority interest among Trek fans. You really can't dispute that. Could it be as high as 25% instead of the 16% that Cryptic arrived at? Sure. But you aren't going to crunch the data and discover that there is the potential for equal balanced factions...
  • Archived PostArchived Post Member Posts: 2,264,498 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    As much as I love being a Klingon in game if I was to go to a convention in a Costume it would be as a Star Fleet Human. Why? Because I just need to wear a long sleeved shirt, and black pants.

    For a Klingon I need to make the armour, have somebody help me with my makeup. Being at a Convention in full make up and uniform isn't the easiest experience in the world.

    I have a great deal of respect for the legions of Storm Troopers at conventions in Australia, it can be very hot here.
  • Archived PostArchived Post Member Posts: 2,264,498 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    the op has made a big mistake counting console games as real games. pc is in a world of its own .

    STOP

    HAMMER TIME
  • Archived PostArchived Post Member Posts: 2,264,498 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    if only Bethesda made a rpg when they had a trek license.

    could you imagine oblivion-powered star trek?

    /I once was a captain like you until I took a disruptor to the knee
  • branmakmorrnbranmakmorrn Member Posts: 82 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    I stopped listening to Priority One and I stopped reading Massively back when BPfelczer (BranFlakes) was still on board. Before he got a job at PW.

    IMO they kinda screwed the pooch from the get go, I've seen so many people leave over the past two years that were KDF and/or PVP (around 30 on my friends list, last I checked) because of how the KDF / PVP was supported when launched / after launch.

    If it's not the 16% thing it's the 'most of the players are at max level so that's where our focus is.'

    It amuses me people still see Romulans as viable at all, given the track record of being able to keep up with bi-faction content. Can't continue making 2-faction's worth of content AND go back and fill in the gaps for the KDF? How do you suppose they'll be able to create 21 levels of Romulan gameplay while keeping up with 2 factions worth of content?
  • bitemepwebitemepwe Member Posts: 6,760 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    I can wait for the KDF completion if I trusted it was actually in the grand plan for the future but given how the Devs skirt the answer when asked about the future of teh KDF and how the fedfans support the idea that the KDF is a dead end and the needs of Cryptic is to service the feds I no longer trust PWE or Cryptic.

    The game should be renamed as Star Fleet online and Cryptic should refund our monies spent since many of us only joined STO due to the lie that the KDF would be a fully playable faction.
    Leonard Nimoy, Spock.....:(

    R.I.P
  • catliketypingcatliketyping Member Posts: 611
    edited June 2012
    I'm always amused by the Romulan faction threads. yes, there are are couple true fans, but most pro-Romulan people seem like Starfleet players wanting some kind of way to Lord themselves over more players with divergent interests in this universe.

    "yes, I'd play a Romulan faction. I might never log in to my Klingon character, but I'd log in once or twice for a Romulan if I could have a D'deridex warbird. maybe."
    Nessia (KDF Sci)
    IKS Korrasami (Fleet B'rel Bird of Prey Retrofit T5-U)
  • vinru821vinru821 Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Always some crazy excuse.

    It is so sad.

    Example:

    2 county fairs are set up next to each other. ( you KNOW where I am going with this )

    1. Fed County Fair has a ferris wheel, roller coasters, water rides, an arcade, lots of food and drink, free parking,

    2. KDF County fair has bumper cars, and a sandbox.

    Any idea why less people goto the 2nd one?

    Fkkkkn excuses.

    Cryptic says they doubled their team, and yet they still cant put 2 people on this. SMH

    goodluck with getting ANY other factions.. and if so expect little to nothing to do
    :eek:
  • sollvaxsollvax Member Posts: 4 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Big difference being the fed county fair has root beer the klingon one has a bar
    Live long and Prosper
  • ztempestztempest Member Posts: 9 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Lets be clear here: Stahl said that there WILL be more Klingon and Faction Neutral ENDGAME content. What is off the table is rebuilding the KDF from lvl 1 since 90% of players are sitting at lvl 50, wondering what comes next.

    Also, I would say the fact that the majority of Trek games haven't even offered KDF is actually evidence in favor of Stahl's point: it is a minority interest among Trek fans. You really can't dispute that. Could it be as high as 25% instead of the 16% that Cryptic arrived at? Sure. But you aren't going to crunch the data and discover that there is the potential for equal balanced factions...

    I feel the need to address this issue...

    The Star Fleet Command series is arguably the best Star Trek game to have ever been published. The game was so successful that there were multiple titles in it: Star Fleet Command, Start Fleet Command 2: Empires at War, Star Fleet Command: Orion Pirates, Start Fleet Command III. I played them all.

    The fleet numbers in the multiplayer Dynaverse games -- massive campaigns that could go on for months beween eight different races (Feds, Klingons, Romulans, Kzinti, Lyran, Hydran, ISC, Pirates) were very competitive. The Feds were often one of the largest factions...but the Klingons were a close second, and sometimes they outnumbered the Feds in some campaigns. Romulans usually came in 3rd...but were always a force to be reckoned with. In terms of winning campaigns...the Klingon faction - usually allied with the Lyrans or Kzinti and maybe the Romulans, tended to win just as often as the Federation-dominated faction. All in all though...I would have to give the edge to the Klingons...I do think they tended to win more often.

    Within the game "environment" there were some very strong fleets. Klingon Black Fleet, Kzinti Assault Taskforce, SPQR, Xenocorp, 12th Fleet, and others.

    Bottom line is that there is a number of Klingon fans out there...unfortunately though, many of them left STO about a year or so ago because they did not see a future for the Klingon faction...KBF is holding on...and we will stay until the game closes or there is no more KDF (like a merger alliance with the Feds...shudder!)
  • lepton1000lepton1000 Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    One of the most dedicated, loyal, and fanatic of fanbases and playerbases in the Star Trek IP are those that embrace the Klingon way. By not serving, this dedicated "minority", Cryptic is certainly shooting itself in the foot in terms of building a devoted playerbase and a steady source of revenue from those players.
  • naffoffpwenaffoffpwe Member Posts: 62 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Does this mean I now have to re-do my forum avatar?

    I've only just got it back, would be a shame to have to change that 18% to 16%...
    The user formerly known as DogsBody.
    Here before PWE (and hopefully) here long after PWE is gone.

    What this game needs is PvP, NOT PWE.
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • aoav160aoav160 Member Posts: 443 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Yes cryptic has been half #ed from the start and still is compared to the SFC franchise.
  • generalkrasgeneralkras Member Posts: 39 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Reclaiming my original post.

    I'm still very interested in the study data Mr. Stahl mentioned on the Priority One episode and would enjoy attempting to replicate the studies. So anyone from Cryptic who wants to get ahold of me with those studies steps (how many conventions, methods to count fans etc.) I'm still very interested.

    If nothing else it'd be great extra credit research material for uni. So if someone from the Studio could get ahold of me via PM or here it'd be grand.

    Thanks all.
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • warmaker001bwarmaker001b Member Posts: 9,205 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    The base data from Mr Stahl is already wrong. Counting convention data as baseline for a game does only include the guys they seem to have asked and exluded the rest of the audience. As well not very one who does not dress as Klingon dislikes them.

    So Cryptic bases their figures on wrong base data and is there for not holdable.

    They never had numbers or facts to begin with. They just reach into their "Jar of Random Excuses" that has a big "X" over the KDF symbol, to spout any justification to be lazy in KDF development.

    They throw in the random, haplesss noob employee to say how much they love the KDF and will try to push their development whenever they can, but the simple truth is 2 years of neglect for the KDF (and PVP) shows where Cryptic truly lies.

    Simply put: They're too busy milking the Feds for whatever they got, while they can.
    XzRTofz.gif
  • warmaker001bwarmaker001b Member Posts: 9,205 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    ztempest wrote: »
    I feel the need to address this issue...

    The Star Fleet Command series is arguably the best Star Trek game to have ever been published. The game was so successful that there were multiple titles in it: Star Fleet Command, Start Fleet Command 2: Empires at War, Star Fleet Command: Orion Pirates, Start Fleet Command III. I played them all.

    The fleet numbers in the multiplayer Dynaverse games -- massive campaigns that could go on for months beween eight different races (Feds, Klingons, Romulans, Kzinti, Lyran, Hydran, ISC, Pirates) were very competitive. The Feds were often one of the largest factions...but the Klingons were a close second, and sometimes they outnumbered the Feds in some campaigns. Romulans usually came in 3rd...but were always a force to be reckoned with. In terms of winning campaigns...the Klingon faction - usually allied with the Lyrans or Kzinti and maybe the Romulans, tended to win just as often as the Federation-dominated faction. All in all though...I would have to give the edge to the Klingons...I do think they tended to win more often.

    Within the game "environment" there were some very strong fleets. Klingon Black Fleet, Kzinti Assault Taskforce, SPQR, Xenocorp, 12th Fleet, and others.

    Bottom line is that there is a number of Klingon fans out there...unfortunately though, many of them left STO about a year or so ago because they did not see a future for the Klingon faction...KBF is holding on...and we will stay until the game closes or there is no more KDF (like a merger alliance with the Feds...shudder!)

    The SFC series was indeed a great one. Going from Kirk's TMP timeframe to even TNG era (with SFC3). The scope was wide, varied, and the fleets felt and played differently. You definitely had points as to why you would want to play with the different factions.
    XzRTofz.gif
  • recksracerrecksracer Member Posts: 128 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    vinru821 wrote: »
    Always some crazy excuse.

    It is so sad.

    Example:

    2 county fairs are set up next to each other. ( you KNOW where I am going with this )

    1. Fed County Fair has a ferris wheel, roller coasters, water rides, an arcade, lots of food and drink, free parking,

    2. KDF County fair has bumper cars, and a sandbox.

    Any idea why less people goto the 2nd one?

    Fkkkkn excuses.

    Cryptic says they doubled their team, and yet they still cant put 2 people on this. SMH

    goodluck with getting ANY other factions.. and if so expect little to nothing to do


    Don't forget the part where you are forced to go through a portion the first fair to even get to the second fair's front door.
  • recksracerrecksracer Member Posts: 128 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Reclaiming my original post.

    I'm still very interested in the study data Mr. Stahl mentioned on the Priority One episode and would enjoy attempting to replicate the studies. So anyone from Cryptic who wants to get ahold of me with those studies steps (how many conventions, methods to count fans etc.) I'm still very interested.

    If nothing else it'd be great extra credit research material for uni. So if someone from the Studio could get ahold of me via PM or here it'd be grand.

    Thanks all.

    Dude, let me help you...

    Find your TRIBBLE. Pull a number out of it. Reseach complete.

    Do you really believe that a company this halfasstic does research?
  • recksracerrecksracer Member Posts: 128 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    I have to make one more point on the percentage thing.

    If every player played a single kdf officer 100% of the time there would still be 50% fed characters because of the way the game is set up.

    If half of the player base was klingon, you'd still be looking at only 25% klingon characters because of the need to keep a fed officer.

    Maybe that 18% is more important than the braintrust over there thinks...
  • kbflordkruegkbflordkrueg Member Posts: 189 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    I would be very interested in seeing Cryptic's research data as well to back Dannyboy's statement of "We've done tests over and over again, it's going to be 16% of the player base. Cause that's what it is at Star Trek conventions, that's what it is in every other Star Trek game. It's a constant."
    How they got their figures and numbers of how many would LIKE to play Klingon over Fed.
    How many did they ask? If they asked at a ST convention, how many were in attendence total?
    Of course, now that they castrated the Empire by forcing you to play as a Fed for 50% of the total ranks just to be allowed to even create a Klingon skews almost any data horribly.

    If only the original words had come to pass:
    August 10th, 2008 - At Gen Con Jack Emmert said: "Starfleet and Klingon. Yeah. So two factions, full PvE content."

    You'd think they'd want to shut us up and have their proof displayed for all to see.
    Lord Krueg
    KBF CO
    We are the Dead
    join date Aug 2008
  • kbflordkruegkbflordkrueg Member Posts: 189 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    recksracer wrote: »
    Dude, let me help you...

    Find your TRIBBLE. Pull a number out of it. Reseach complete.

    Do you really believe that a company this halfasstic does research?

    Sad thing is, they probably paid someone a lot of money to do that research.
    Maybe just paying 1 xtra guy to make some more KDF mission content would have been a better investment.
    Think how dedicated Klingon players would spread the word to their fanclubs, friends and online sites that there was a great game for Klingon fans too.
    Think of the moneymaking possibilities.
    Lord Krueg
    KBF CO
    We are the Dead
    join date Aug 2008
  • lmrtlmrt Member Posts: 133 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Well i do not know if people play ANY faction because it is easier or more complete, i mean, of course there must be somebody, but i think it is the minority in this case, my brother has a fed toon, he use it to reach the level when you can create a KDF character and never used it again, he likes the Klingon Empire more than Starfleet, period, the same with me, but i like Starfleet more.
    The "16/18%" argument is just hot air, play the game, go check on the sectors, READ THE FORUMS, i know for SURE that a LOT MORE than 16/18% of the players are KDF or use mostly their KDF toon.
    I think it is ridiculous that the KDF is not complete, personally i think it should be on the top priorities for Cryptyc and there are no real or valid excuses not to do it, plus a large portion of the players are Klingon and even more have both KDF and FED toons.
    Also, i think it would be nice if the add more factions, but certainly that should be made AFTER they finish the KDF, putting the RSE now as another mini faction is just crazy.
    Yuxtapuestoelmono, not "Lmrt"
  • hawks3052hawks3052 Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited June 2012
    Cryptic does not have the resspurces to make content and C-Store stuff.
    They are bound by PWEs Cash grab over quality approach. The new Fed Carrier is a good example.
    Cryptic is still making patches for it since it is bugged, but thy already sold. No testing done at all.
  • bloctoadbloctoad Member Posts: 660 Arc User
    edited July 2012
    hawks3052 wrote: »
    Cryptic does not have the resspurces to make content and C-Store stuff.
    They are bound by PWEs Cash grab over quality approach. The new Fed Carrier is a good example.
    Cryptic is still making patches for it since it is bugged, but thy already sold. No testing done at all.

    Cryptic was bound by Cryptic's lack of desire or intention to build the KDF faction that was stated and advertised long before any interaction with PWE was formed.
    Jack Emmert: "Starfleet and Klingon. ... So two factions, full PvE content."
    Al Rivera hates Klingons
    Star Trek Online: Agents of Jack Emmert
    All cloaks should be canon.
  • generalkrasgeneralkras Member Posts: 39 Arc User
    edited July 2012
    recksracer wrote: »
    Dude, let me help you...

    Find your TRIBBLE. Pull a number out of it. Reseach complete.

    Do you really believe that a company this halfasstic does research?


    Oh I'm fully aware of this, I just figure it'd be telling if without attacking them or making any kind of accusation someone stepped up and politely offered to replicate the study and they silently refused via not answering. Fact is, the KDF is not what they would have you believe and we've actually conducted independent research to prove it.

    In my original post I discredited the part of the statement "every other Star Trek game" by showing there's no way the data could've been gathered from any kind of sample size that was large enough to be reliable representative of the Star Trek fan base as a whole. I have given their conventions arguement due credit and simply politely asked for the study to be shared for replication, as that is how it works in acadamia. Silence has answered me (so far) thus rendering (for the time being) that part of their arguement invalid as well.

    Meanwhile representatives of the KDF playerbase have participated in a online opinion poll/survey asking what we (the players) believe should be the developers developmental priority. I haven't looked at it recently but at last check of 400 responders 35% listed "further KDF development" as the top priority with that margin beating out the next three categories in the top priority column combined. We're not afraid to share our data publically, a shame Cryptic appears to be.
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
  • darkjeffdarkjeff Member Posts: 2,590 Arc User
    edited July 2012
    vinru821 wrote: »
    SMH
    People need to stop saying this.

    I don't understand why people are imitating Spud from Undergrads, but it just sounds dumb.
  • lianthelialianthelia Member Posts: 7,889 Arc User
    edited July 2012
    I would be very interested in seeing Cryptic's research data as well to back Dannyboy's statement of "We've done tests over and over again, it's going to be 16% of the player base. Cause that's what it is at Star Trek conventions, that's what it is in every other Star Trek game. It's a constant."
    How they got their figures and numbers of how many would LIKE to play Klingon over Fed.
    How many did they ask? If they asked at a ST convention, how many were in attendence total?
    Of course, now that they castrated the Empire by forcing you to play as a Fed for 50% of the total ranks just to be allowed to even create a Klingon skews almost any data horribly.

    If only the original words had come to pass:
    August 10th, 2008 - At Gen Con Jack Emmert said: "Starfleet and Klingon. Yeah. So two factions, full PvE content."

    You'd think they'd want to shut us up and have their proof displayed for all to see.

    Thats what it is in every other star trek game? How does that factor in that many I'm not sure if most but many other trek games have more factions beyond the federation and klingons.

    I own multiple trek games capable of online play and sto is the only one that does not have the options to play feds, klingons, and romulans. Not to mention all said games but one have more factions beyond the three.
    Can't have a honest conversation because of a white knight with power
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