How bad is your luck?

Posts: 90 Arc User
edited December 2013 in Twilight Temple (West)
I would love to see anyone top this.

2013-10-3015-38-43_zpse6287d52.png

Absolute last gate on Meridian.
Post edited by Temptatious - Sanctuary on

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  • Posts: 2,102 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    i think another player posted the same with a full meridian aside the last one. I think i had 2 or 3 empties when i opened one.
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  • Posts: 1,984 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    It happens to many of us.

    There is 1 in 48 chance of it being the first one. Also 1 in 48 chance it being the last one.
    Everything i write is from PvE perspective unless mentioned otherwise.
  • Posts: 8,680 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    I've had this happen to me too as well as being down to last 5 tries with one gate.
    Also, getting stuck on a gate requiring two life gates in a row for a month. Now I'm at the point where I need 3 life gates in a row....not fun :c
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  • Posts: 54 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    I've had this happen to me too as well as being down to last 5 tries with one gate.
    Also, getting stuck on a gate requiring two life gates in a row for a month. Now I'm at the point where I need 3 life gates in a row....not fun :c

    Took me well over a month to get passed the two life gates in a row, not looking forward to the 3 in a row one b:shocked
  • Posts: 10,454 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    let me craft gear and i will get you 2 socket armour with a 90% chance since 2008 :D
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  • Posts: 54 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    let me craft gear and i will get you 2 socket armour with a 90% chance since 2008 :D

    Only if you can get me the lowest stats on them too.

    I've killed many ugly Genies trying to make a purdy one...also lvled a few ugly ones trying to make the Legendary 10/100 LP Genie. My pride and joy is 23/100 LP.
  • Posts: 930 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    I got one of those. http://i.imgur.com/33V8egv.png

    It's more satisfying for it to be the very last one than 3rd to last.
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  • Posts: 220 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    It happens to many of us.

    There is 1 in 48 chance of it being the first one. Also 1 in 48 chance it being the last one.

    Thats not really true. I think it was best explained in tv show, there is 3 doors, one hides "treasure". Say you pick door 1, door 3 is opened and it turns out empty. Would it be beneficial for you to change your choice? Ultimately your odds to get right on the first door are one in three, changing door after one has been opened gives you one in two odds.

    Ps. Not to forget you have to chain 47 misses for that meridian.
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  • Posts: 4,628 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    Thats not really true. I think it was best explained in tv show, there is 3 doors, one hides "treasure". Say you pick door 1, door 3 is opened and it turns out empty. Would it be beneficial for you to change your choice? Ultimately your odds to get right on the first door are one in three, changing door after one has been opened gives you one in two odds.

    Ps. Not to forget you have to chain 47 misses for that meridian.

    You are talking about the Monty Hall problem, and it doesn't apply to meridian. You are not given extra information in the meridian system (you are not told whether other bubbles are empty or not until you guess them).. so WannaBM was correct.. you have a 1/48 chance to guess it on the first try, and 1/48 chance for it to be the last one.
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  • Posts: 482 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    You are talking about the Monty Hall problem, and it doesn't apply to meridian. You are not given extra information in the meridian system (you are not told whether other bubbles are empty or not until you guess them).. so WannaBM was correct.. you have a 1/48 chance to guess it on the first try, and 1/48 chance for it to be the last one.

    Yes. However, everytime you try your chance is higher than 1/48, cause one door is open. So, if you have 5 thingies left, you have a 20% chance of getting it right, not a 1/48 chance.
  • Posts: 4,628 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    Yes. However, everytime you try your chance is higher than 1/48, cause one door is open. So, if you have 5 thingies left, you have a 20% chance of getting it right, not a 1/48 chance.

    Yeah, if you are down to two bubbles, you have a 50/50 chance to get it right. We are talking about the chance that you end up in that orientation from the start though (guess everything except the correct one), which has a 1/48 chance of happening assuming guesses are random.
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  • Posts: 2,280 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    In response to the title, I don't believe in luck. I do however believe in Karma, GG
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  • Posts: 10,454 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    In response to the title, I don't believe in luck. I do however believe in Karma, GG
    my karma hit you so many times in NW f:shyf:shyf:shy
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]lagunal8.deviantart.com
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  • Posts: 2,280 Arc User
    edited December 2013
    my karma hit you so many times in NW f:shyf:shyf:shy

    No, I believe it was your gemini slash b:surrender
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