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Forums > Home› Neverwinter Discussion › General Discussion (PC)

Coalward drop rate

arcanaxearcanaxe Member Posts: 192 Arc User
edited August 2014 in General Discussion (PC)
Opened 63 boxes and got 3 coalwards.

So who ever wanted to know the ratio of the drop rate.
Post edited by arcanaxe on

Comments

  • rashylewizzrashylewizz Member Posts: 4,265 Bounty Hunter
    edited August 2014
    Small sample size
  • godhricgodhric Member, Neverwinter Beta Users Posts: 437 Bounty Hunter
    edited August 2014
    out of 100.. I got 4 last time .. like a month ago
  • kaiserschmarrnkaiserschmarrn Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Hero Users, Neverwinter Guardian Users, Neverwinter Knight of the Feywild Users Posts: 390
    edited August 2014
    The nasty part is that the drop rate used to be far more generous before the Ranger module. And I mean 4-5 times more generous.
  • joncansjoncans Member Posts: 158 Bounty Hunter
    edited August 2014
    This will mess with your math...

    I opened 80 Tyrannical boxes. 0 Coal Wards
    I opened 20 other random boxes (during resurgence). 0 Coal Wards

    This was done last Friday.
    BladeRunner-Proud member of the BlackCloaks.
  • mrgiggles651mrgiggles651 Member Posts: 790 Arc User
    edited August 2014
    rashylewizz wrote: »
    Small sample size
    A statistically useful sample size for coal ward drops is around 1000.
    I wasted five million AD promoting the Foundry.
  • rayrdanrayrdan Member Posts: 5,410 Arc User
    edited August 2014
    joncans wrote: »
    This will mess with your math...

    I opened 80 Tyrannical boxes. 0 Coal Wards
    I opened 20 other random boxes (during resurgence). 0 Coal Wards

    This was done last Friday.

    Cause coal dont drop from lockboxes.
  • ashnvfashnvf Member Posts: 294 Arc User
    edited August 2014
    mrgiggles651 wrote: »
    A statistically useful sample size for coal ward drops is around 1000.

    I'm not sure any sample size will be statically meaningful when it comes to the NW random number generator. We know they are prone to bugs with regard to "randomness" i.e. dungeon chest bug, nightmare mount bug. So who knows if they are seeding properly or getting a proper distribution.

    Personally, I have found it to be very streaky. I can fail 10 enchantment upgrades (with 90% success chance) in a row. Likewise I can pass 5 in a row that only had a 20% chance. While yes that is possible, statically the chance is very close to 0.

    The bottom line is the drop rate is extremely low.
  • rhoriangelusrhoriangelus Member Posts: 703 Arc User
    edited August 2014
    Even with the small sample sizes, you're still getting about 1 in 20 lockboxes, or around 5%, which is what people have been saying it is all along.
  • cerberobotcerberobot Member, Neverwinter Beta Users Posts: 345
    edited August 2014
    arcanaxe wrote: »
    Opened 63 boxes and got 3 coalwards.

    So who ever wanted to know the ratio of the drop rate.

    I never dropped any coal since the drop rate nerf (and with 4 characters everyday).

    Ye, i'm unlucky. Always been.
  • jorifice1jorifice1 Member Posts: 1,042 Arc User
    edited August 2014
    I don't even bother.
    I just get the Sharendar Chest for a guaranteed reward (a Feyblessing for every two).
    For Cols. I just buy a few Keys and open Boxes until I get enough Bars to buy a Ward. Sell the HAMSTER I get on the AH to recupe some of the cost if I can't use it.
    'Wen considered the nature of time and understood that the universe is, instant by instant, recreated anew. Therefore, he understood, there is in truth no past, only a memory of the past. Blink your eyes, and the world you see next did not exist when you closed them. Therefore, he said, the only appropriate state of the mind is surprise. The only appropriate state of the heart is joy. The sky you see now, you have never seen before. The perfect moment is now. Be glad of it.' Terry Pratchet The Thief Of Time
  • ryugasiriusryugasirius Member Posts: 996 Arc User
    edited August 2014
    You were very lucky, other people who did the RNG tests calculated a 3-5% chance...
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