Box drop rates?

div3rge · January 2018

Hi all! I recently decided to purchase the trial VIP/fifty keys option from the Zen store, and while my fifty keys got me a couple good unlocks since then I've gotten almost nothing. (I'm not saying I'm completely empty-handed- I got some good stuff from the initial unlocks. Nothing amazing, but decent. Since then I got the Sigil of the Nine and then mostly enchatment boxes.)

I was just wondering what the drop rates were for, say, the mount packs. (Epic or legendary.)

gromovnipljesak · January 2018

Well, I don't know the drop rates but I'm gonna put it this way. I've played for over 2200 hours, I've had VIP for most of the time, and haven't gotten a single epic/legendary. Bought loads of keys too.

yiazzy · January 2018

In that particular Lockbox, the Starfade Stag drops quite often (Surprised you didn't get one in those 50 drops tbh), but the Celestial Stag is very rare, as are all the Legendary drops.

I, personally, have opened a LOT of boxes over the years. Currently I have 520 days of vip left so you do the math. I've only ever had 3 Legendary drops, Celestial Stag, Arcane Whirlwind, and the Glorious Resurgence Legendary Pack. The latter was only 2 weeks ago now.

div3rge · January 2018

I was afraid of that, lol. I guess I'll just keep saving. I did get a skeletal dog out of an exhumed companions pack today, so there's that.

Unknown · January 2018

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froger · January 2018

My opinion of lockbox drop rates is they are so low that they are not published anywhere. But some people seem to have "the luck of the Irish". VIP is great, I would recommenced getting it up to level 12 if you like the game. I've had VIP for over two years now and have only seen my name broadcast once, and it wasn't a useful pull.

traklin · January 2018

I have tried to do the math on this one and its next to impossible to get the odds since there are so many variables involved. I once did 250 keys in one setting, and get some weekly having done so for years. I have never hit a legendary and only a few epics. I even went so far as to contact customer support to ask the odds. Needless to say i never got the odds and funny enough i have never hit even an epic since i argued with the support folks. Basically this is a long winded way of saying dont expect to hit the lottery unless your dropping thousands of dollars, even then im not sure it would make it a safe bet

sundance777 · January 2018

There are people and sites that test lock box drop rates, I know the legendary is very low, think 2000 boxes or more on average. I don't know the numbers for the Epics, but if you keep your eyes peeled during events and big sales, the prices of epic packs usually fluctuate a fair amount, so you might snag one from the AH at a very nice price.

Myself I have opened around 6000 lock boxes and I feel I achieved average results at the time. I think the stated return rate on lock boxes might prove they do not generate profits on average, but they can be fun and have useful loot obviously. The loot from the daily key typically covers the cost of being VIP so that is a good deal as stated plus the in game benefits are nice.

reefriednunt · January 2018

Google it, there are not official results....but there’s a website that opens tons of boxes on preview and shows results, I believe legendary prizes are about .14% and epic are about .85%

mikal · January 2018

I've been playing this game for years and personally i've never seen a legendary from a box. It got so discouraging that i stopped paying for vip and have never bought an enchanted key since.

sundance777 · January 2018

If you are only doing the daily key, you need about 6 years of play time to expect you have opened enough lockboxes to have seen a legendary.

div3rge · January 2018

sundance777 said:
If you are only doing the daily key, you need about 6 years of play time to expect you have opened enough lockboxes to have seen a legendary.

...how on earth are you getting that statistic? There are hundreds of variables. I could go out tomororow and buy 2,000 keys for all you know. LOLOL.

zephyriah · January 2018

div3rge said:

sundance777 said:
If you are only doing the daily key, you need about 6 years of play time to expect you have opened enough lockboxes to have seen a legendary.

...how on earth are you getting that statistic? There are hundreds of variables. I could go out tomororow and buy 2,000 keys for all you know. LOLOL.

I believe he stated "If you are only doing the daily key". Buying 2000 keys is not part of his point, but you are correct that the six year comment was pulled out of the air.

At the estimated 1 in 1000 (Epic) up to 1 in 10,000 (Legendary) drop rates based on boxes opened on the preview server some time back, you still cannot affix a time table to a successful opening. Some will get it on the first and some will go way over the average.

currentdragoon · January 2018

I lucked out the other day by getting my first legendary mount. It's been about a year of being VIP and buying quite a few keys.

sundance777 · January 2018

Sorry I was rounding 2000/365 = 5.479452054794521 years to open 2000 lockboxes one key a day, that is on average, you could hit one today and you could never hit one too.

sgaddis13 · January 2018

There is a video somewhere.... I saw it on one of the pages in this forum..... of a guy opening 10,000 lock boxes. I watched so I could live vicariously through him, and he got one legendary every 1,000 boxes. I want to say the "earliest" he got one was around box 750 in that particular set of 1,000.

He machine gunned the keys, so I would say that solidifies the idea that a legendary mount drops once in every thousand boxes that are being opened. Or that is how I look at it anyway.

yiazzy · January 2018

Fyi..that last Legendary Pack I got? That was my daily key.
And the other two were in the same month. I most certainly didn't buy 1000 keys that month, think I bought 10? So I opened 40 in total. 2 Legendaries. Guess at the numbers and invent figures all you want, but there IS no pattern.

Remember, it's a fixed rate. The raw percentage value of getting a legendary doesn't increase everytime you don't pull one. It's the same chance EVERY KEY

Box drop rates?

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