Has professions been nerfed?

zacoria1405 · August 2015

The reason I ask this is that the last 12 gemmed exquisite items I have attempted have all come back ungemmed. I'm obviously using all epic assets as usual and so should have a 60% chance of success. I've noticed endless pages in the auction house of epic ungemmed items which is also unusual.
I also did an experiment yesterday and tried to create 14 rare gemmed tunics, not one came back gemmed. How is this possible with a 60% chance? Anybody else having a similar problem? I've only been experiencing this for about a week now and am wondering if there is a problem with this or ARC have turned the ratio down so that we can no longer make any AD out of professions anymore. It's become quite pointless spending a fair amount of AD on dragon eggs only to always fail in all attempts at making gemmed gear. Can anything be done about this or do we just give up.

salacious66 · August 2015

I make nowhere the amount you do but last 3 items (2 leather and one ring) over say last 3 days all tier 3 success.

kreatyve · August 2015

The RNG just doesn't like you, but it is RNG based. That 60% chance is a bit of a misnomer, in my opinion.

willwheatley · August 2015

We went 10 full rounds in Settlers of Catan with four players last night without rolling a single 7. That's 40 rolls missing a 35% chance.

It is the way of RNGesus. Sometimes he giveth, sometimes he taketh away

soonergm · August 2015

Like skill nodes.. 75% chance but there are many times where I get 6 or more fails in a row.

On the other hand when I plugged my first dragon hoard enchantment (1% chance) I started getting refinement stones regularly.. way more than 1%.

% of chance has never been accurate in any game I've ever played, and I think it's the nature of coding language in general and not necessarily the devs fault. But that doesn't make me any happier when I get the short end of the stick lol

xxxsfalxxx · August 2015

Let's say kits. If you start getting a string of failures at 75%.... That's possible to get 4 or 5 or more in a row of failures. But it seems to happen "too often" to be realistic as in true random. Getting 5 75% failures more than once every few weeks or months or years isn't that realistic. Yet, these are not random, they're generated, they're pseudo-random, they're seeded, however you say it. Often the same RNG seed gives the same numbers, and oddness can result... So the next time you fail a 75% twice in a row, you're probably in for another couple; not the odds, the demonstrated results

Try moving a bit rather than just trying over and over, which actually isn't bad advice after you get a failure. Most of the time if I move after a couple there aren't any more, so I don't just stand there trying over and over and failing over and over.

How you do that with professions, I don't know... Try kicking off a try and switching characters and logging out. (Although if you are getting strings of successes, keep doing what you're doing!) All in all, there are going to be runs, but when you've finished a few thousand, it should (theoretically) even out at the given percent.

Has professions been nerfed?

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