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Scoring 400 for your offhand is not cheap. Here's why.
vvv459
Member Posts: 161 Bounty Hunter
I have encountered some people who can't deal with their artifact being less than 400, some have wasted over 5 million AD trying to get it to 400. Others have given up around that figure.
Hopefully this will help.
You have a 1/300 chance to score 400. Each roll is independently random ranging from 100 to 400.
What this means is that if you do this a lot, on average you will need 300 attempts to get 400. But since we want to do it only once or at most a few times we are not interested in this vague average figure.
So how do we think about this? Probability theory comes to the rescue.
You have a (1 - 1/300) chance to NOT get a 400.
Then according to probability, you have a (1 - 1/300)*(1 - 1/300) chance of not getting 400 twice in a ROW. And so on.
Therefore:
(1 - 1/300)^x = probability of failure after x attempts.
What can we do with this?
It's simple, lets bring this to the realm of a coin-toss. We want to know how many attempts are equivalent to a coin-toss to help our intuition along.
(1 - 1/300)^x = 0.5
x log (1 - 1/300) = log 0.5
x = 208
So what this means is that 208 attempts of this are equivalent to one coin-toss with the goal of getting to 400.
Each coin-toss costs 2.6 million AD. Are you feeling lucky?
You will either get lucky with your first coin-toss and this will cost you 2.6m or less. Or you will need multiple tosses.
As we all know it is not that uncommon to lose multiple coin tosses in a row. Be mindful of that.
This is a clever AD sink designed to scam as much money from perfectionists as possible.
Hopefully this will help.
You have a 1/300 chance to score 400. Each roll is independently random ranging from 100 to 400.
What this means is that if you do this a lot, on average you will need 300 attempts to get 400. But since we want to do it only once or at most a few times we are not interested in this vague average figure.
So how do we think about this? Probability theory comes to the rescue.
You have a (1 - 1/300) chance to NOT get a 400.
Then according to probability, you have a (1 - 1/300)*(1 - 1/300) chance of not getting 400 twice in a ROW. And so on.
Therefore:
(1 - 1/300)^x = probability of failure after x attempts.
What can we do with this?
It's simple, lets bring this to the realm of a coin-toss. We want to know how many attempts are equivalent to a coin-toss to help our intuition along.
(1 - 1/300)^x = 0.5
x log (1 - 1/300) = log 0.5
x = 208
So what this means is that 208 attempts of this are equivalent to one coin-toss with the goal of getting to 400.
Each coin-toss costs 2.6 million AD. Are you feeling lucky?
You will either get lucky with your first coin-toss and this will cost you 2.6m or less. Or you will need multiple tosses.
As we all know it is not that uncommon to lose multiple coin tosses in a row. Be mindful of that.
This is a clever AD sink designed to scam as much money from perfectionists as possible.
Post edited by vvv459 on
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Comments
ROFL what??? First sentence got me & couldn't read more. O rolled 368/400 on third try (37,500 AD in rolls) and am living happily ever with that. Not revisiting unless huge pile of Cubes falls from sky or I have absolutely nothing better to spend AD on.
Sopi SW Youtube channel pvp brickabrack
WTB Class Reroll please
i just agreed with myself to spend no more than half a mil on that.
after reading the post i feel myself even more super-lucky lol
But yeah. It's pretty bad.
Anything over 350 should be great. The difference between 350 and 400, on something like AP gain or CA damage is less than .4%, especially if you already have points in it. The diminishing returns hits really hard at anything over a total of 600-700 point on these types of starts.
For example, I have the CA boon, a CA artifact, which gives me a CA bonus of 700 or about 7%. Taking that up to 1100 with an artifact roll gave me about an 8% bonus. The numbers are exact since I'm not in game right now, but they're approximate.
If people are spending millions of AD trying to get 1 or 2 more points here, they're just being silly.
Isn't 50 Cubes to much already? or it was split between 3 different characters?
i hit 363 in third try, and i can live with that.
Well yeah, nothing will make a difference for you >: )
if you really sit there and spend $millions of AD rolling and rerolling til you get exactly 400, ur dum
I feel a little trolled.
< Guild: Gravity X Game >
As the relevant tooltips tell you, that stat unlocks at epic.
(thanks for the thread btw, highly useful)