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Whats with the failure rate in Admiralty?

90-95% chance at success, so far has been 100% failure.
Sure its only been 5 or 6 times, so not a big amount. But these weren't 50%ers, they should have a good chance to succeed.

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  • daveynydaveyny Member Posts: 8,227 Arc User
    edited October 2015
    I've done about 18 missions so far and haven't failed yet.
    I've also critt'ed 6 of those 18.
    I'm up to Level 4 in each faction, but am only up to the third Tour of Duty mission in each.
    B)
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  • duncanidaho11duncanidaho11 Member Posts: 7,981 Arc User
    edited October 2015
    iceeaglex wrote: »
    90-95% chance at success, so far has been 100% failure.
    Sure its only been 5 or 6 times, so not a big amount. But these weren't 50%ers, they should have a good chance to succeed.

    I've had a surprisingly high failure rate with assignments where I didn't meet all the requirements. For the moment I wouldn't pay much attention to the stated percentages and just go with the rule of thumb: "well, if I short cut this one it might not turn out well."
    Bipedal mammal and senior Foundry author.
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  • tempus64tempus64 Member Posts: 806 Arc User
    iceeaglex wrote: »
    90-95% chance at success, so far has been 100% failure.
    Sure its only been 5 or 6 times, so not a big amount. But these weren't 50%ers, they should have a good chance to succeed.

    Ive only done 3 or so 90%-95% ones so far and they all succeeded so I would say you just had a bad run.
  • duncanidaho11duncanidaho11 Member Posts: 7,981 Arc User
    edited October 2015
    tempus64 wrote: »

    Ive only done 3 or so 90%-95% ones so far and they all succeeded so I would say you just had a bad run.

    I've done about 5 with less than 100% with 3 fails. That's about a 0.8% probability even for a 90% success rate. It's not outside the realm of reasonable possibility [8 out of 1000 people will encounter it on average, and it only takes one or two to keep a thread like this going] but its worth asking if the success percentage is entirely honest (and more severe penalties are actually being applied for not meeting criteria, which is what I expected out of the system prior to release.)
    Post edited by duncanidaho11 on
    Bipedal mammal and senior Foundry author.
    Notable missions: Apex [AEI], Gemini [SSF], Trident [AEI], Evolution's Smile [SSF], Transcendence
    Looking for something new to play? I've started building Foundry missions again in visual novel form!
  • nikephorusnikephorus Member Posts: 2,744 Arc User
    I don't think I've failed any of the mission's I've attempted.
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  • typhoncaltyphoncal Member Posts: 247 Arc User
    I havent gotten a failure rate at all yet, i have had ships having to repair for about 8-12hrs but other than that great rewards and stuff.
    Commander Shran - You tell Archer, that is three the pink skin owes me!
  • lilchibiclarililchibiclari Member Posts: 1,193 Arc User
    daveyny wrote: »
    I've done about 18 missions so far and haven't failed yet.
    I've also critt'ed 6 of those 18.
    I'm up to Level 4 in each faction, but am only up to the third Tour of Duty mission in each.
    B)

    Oddly, I'm at level 4 for the Federation but have yet to receive the first Tour of Duty mission for it.
  • duncanidaho11duncanidaho11 Member Posts: 7,981 Arc User
    nikephorus wrote: »
    I don't think I've failed any of the mission's I've attempted.
    I think the question is how many you've failed not of all missions but of those that you started with less than a 100% success rate. You generally shoot for 100% (and I haven't had much of a problem maintaining those odds over most assignments) but on those occasions where you try to scoot under requirements it would be nice to get a specific sample.
    Bipedal mammal and senior Foundry author.
    Notable missions: Apex [AEI], Gemini [SSF], Trident [AEI], Evolution's Smile [SSF], Transcendence
    Looking for something new to play? I've started building Foundry missions again in visual novel form!
  • markhawkmanmarkhawkman Member Posts: 35,236 Arc User
    daveyny wrote: »
    I've done about 18 missions so far and haven't failed yet.
    I've also critt'ed 6 of those 18.
    I'm up to Level 4 in each faction, but am only up to the third Tour of Duty mission in each.
    B)

    Oddly, I'm at level 4 for the Federation but have yet to receive the first Tour of Duty mission for it.
    Yeah tour assignments pop up at random and not often.
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  • nikephorusnikephorus Member Posts: 2,744 Arc User
    I haven't queued up many missions below 100%. But of the handful that I have I still was successful.
    Tza0PEl.png
  • If you are failing missions I would suggest checking your network connection or possibly upgrading your computer as it is too slow
  • hyplhypl Member Posts: 3,719 Arc User
    Is this really a surprise? The same thing happens with the doff system. More like 90% chance to FAIL. :p
  • enorats1enorats1 Member Posts: 11 Arc User
    I was wondering about this as well. Of the ~10 or so missions I've done that had less than 100% success rate (almost all of those were still 85% or higher) every single one of them has failed. It's beginning to feel like anything less than 100% is an automatic fail.
  • nikephorusnikephorus Member Posts: 2,744 Arc User
    I'll do some testing over the weekend and report back.
    Tza0PEl.png
  • samt1996samt1996 Member Posts: 2,856 Arc User
    Same reason some people win lockbox ships on their first box. Math.
  • fiberteksyfirfiberteksyfir Member Posts: 1,207 Arc User
    Its all probability and the RNG. Ive failed a few, passed many, and critted where i had an appropriate crit chance. Just get your success as close to 100% as you can. Only ones ive failed and expected to do so are when ive sent a tos connie solo on an assignment to save a pass token
  • kiralynkiralyn Member Posts: 1,576 Arc User
    Yeah, ignoring the missions I just shoved a T1 ship at to make them go away.... ~4 missions slotted on 9 alts overnight. A handful of those were 95%+. Two failed.
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