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So how good do you think your odds of winning the giveaway contest are?

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  • rinksterrinkster Member Posts: 3,549 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Since I've criticized some of their design decisions, I'm betting my odds of winning are a flat zero. Entered anyway, why not.

    Kind of sad that the above does not seem far fetched.
  • haglahayhaglahay Member Posts: 40 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    It would be nice to win, because otherwise I am not going to be able to afford to play with the new stuff.
  • bobbydazlersbobbydazlers Member Posts: 4,534 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    reynoldsxd wrote: »
    As is usual with these sort of things prizes will go to the buddys of those having a say in handing out the prizes.

    The best part of this accusation is this:

    There is no winning move for cryptic here, if i do not get the prize i can say "see i told you" and get the satisfaction of having been right.
    If they hand me a prize i can say "nice try but we know how this usually works, so despite your attempt at bribery and sugarcoating you are guilty!".

    So in the end the only thing they should do is indeed give the prize to a buddy, because then they know for sure he will be happy, and through his happiness they get a bit of happiness back. While i can revel once more in feeling justified in my accusation, and since i never thought i'd actually get anything in the first place, i wont even feel cheated which makes any post about the topic somewhat superfluous.


    Flex your muscles at circular logic too, its fun!

    I have a mate and he always says he never wins any competitions, so one day out of curiosity I asked him how many competitions he has entered, his reply was "oh I never enter any cos I know I wont win"

    now that's circular logic for you.

    now heres is some honest logic 'if you aint in it you cant win it'.

    When I think about everything we've been through together,

    maybe it's not the destination that matters, maybe it's the journey,

     and if that journey takes a little longer,

    so we can do something we all believe in,

     I can't think of any place I'd rather be or any people I'd rather be with.

  • chiyoumikuchiyoumiku Member Posts: 1,028 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    The odds are the same as winning the Megamillions or Powerball jackpot, and thinking about your odds only makes it worse when you don't win.
    Sekhmet_Banner.jpg
    Defending The Galaxy By Breaking One Starfleet Regulation After The Next.
  • terlokiterloki Member Posts: 287 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    I have no illusions about my chances, but since all it cost me was about ten seconds of my life and the tiny part of my soul that flitted away from me when I used a "hashtag", I'd say it wasn't that much of a waste. Yeah, I hate hashtags.
    Admiral Katrina Tokareva - U.S.S. Cosmos, Yorktown-class Star Cruiser
    Admiral Dananra Lekall - R.R.W. Teverresh, Deihu-class Warbird
    General J'Kar son of K'tsulan - I.K.S. Dlahath, Vo'devwl-class Carrier
  • shadowwraith77shadowwraith77 Member Posts: 6,395 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    As a matter if fact OP, All those first time poster accounts probably are Cryptic, because when you register on the forum don't you have to have a valid game account to go along with it.

    That's just it, you could create easy new simple dump accounts!

    Ones that will never actually see, any real use.
    tumblr_nq9ec3BSAy1qj6sk2o2_500_zpspkqw0mmk.gif


    Praetor of the -RTS- Romulan Tal Shiar fleet!

  • originalspockoriginalspock Member Posts: 809 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Since we all have so much stress regarding this free contest, I think we should all hug it out, and cry until we can't anymore.
  • sililossililos Member Posts: 2 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Never won a competition in my life, doubt i will win now though it would be nice lol.
  • arcanum70arcanum70 Member Posts: 6 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    50/50

    Either I'm going to win, or I'm not going to win.
  • prierinprierin Member Posts: 7 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Chances of winning? Better than your chances would be if you didn't enter at all and FAR worse thna losing, but a chance still..
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
    You will forever be missed and never forgotten.
  • shadowwraith77shadowwraith77 Member Posts: 6,395 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    arcanum70 wrote: »
    50/50

    Either I'm going to win, or I'm not going to win.

    That is by far, the best ratio to use for weather predictions!

    50% chance of rain today, either your spot on, or your spot off, but still no matter what, makes you look like you know what you are doing!
    tumblr_nq9ec3BSAy1qj6sk2o2_500_zpspkqw0mmk.gif


    Praetor of the -RTS- Romulan Tal Shiar fleet!

  • doctorme1doctorme1 Member Posts: 11 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    My goodness this forum is full of cynical buggers, isn't it?

    As for my chances... Eh, i know I won't win. Simply for the reason that I never do, and not for anything like 'it's not a real contest' or 'they'll just give it to their buddies'.
  • adorenkoadorenko Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    I'm pretty sure I won't win on any of the social media platforms but I wanted to wait until the drawing, just in case. My only concern is when will the Delta Operations sale end? I plan on purchasing it but only at the sale price. Has anyone heard any news as to when this sale might end?
    Looking for more info on Dilithium Rising? Click on the link below:

    [SIGPIC]Click here to visit my STO YouTube channel[/SIGPIC]
  • hungeringhungering Member Posts: 23 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Probability of me getting it, 0%; probability of someone else getting it, 99.9%; probability of no one getting it, 0.1%.
  • neppakyoneppakyo Member Posts: 245 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    My odds of winning?

    About the same as cryptic fixing and balancing PvP, aka 0%
    Quote about STO on consoles: "Not quite as bad as No man's sky, but a close second."
  • cjay1379cjay1379 Member Posts: 8 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Oops wrong one
  • jaguarskxjaguarskx Member Posts: 5,945 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    At least the chances should be better than winning Powerball in the US.

    Hell, if I win Powerball I'll hold my own raffle to give away 100 LTS.


    Maybe if I start ranting about end game Miranda and Constitution class starships in that give away thread the mods will lock it so no one else can enter....
  • questeriusquesterius Member Posts: 8,316 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Why bother with the odds at all?

    If i happen to win its lucky, but if i don't then there's nothing lost. Entry was free after all.

    It'd be nice if active forum users had better odds than those who created an account just for this contest, but it'd be a pain to sort that out especially with the incredibly limited forum options.
    This program, though reasonably normal at times, seems to have a strong affinity to classes belonging to the Cat 2.0 program. Questerius 2.7 will break down on occasion, resulting in garbage and nonsense messages whenever it occurs. Usually a hard reboot or pulling the plug solves the problem when that happens.
  • smokeybacon90smokeybacon90 Member Posts: 2,252 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Bad, but better than not entering at all.
    EnYn9p9.jpg
  • hyefatherhyefather Member Posts: 1,286 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    I entered 5x. One on the STO forums, Steam, Youtube, Twitter and Facebook. So thats about the same as a 5 Dollor ticket on the Mega Millions. I've never won that. There a first time for everything. Right??
  • gaevsmangaevsman Member Posts: 3,190 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    My chances are -100%... If i "win', i'll have to pay them :p
    The forces of darkness are upon us!
  • dalolorndalolorn Member Posts: 3,655 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Based on the population growth in the relevant giveaway threads, I would estimate the odds, if non-zero, are 1/3000 to 1/3500 on the forums and 1/3000 to 1/4000 on Steam.

    Infinite possibilities have implications that could not be completely understood if you turned this entire universe into a giant supercomputer.p3OEBPD6HU3QI.jpg
  • captainoblivouscaptainoblivous Member Posts: 2,284 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    The odds for me? I think they fall somewhere between the odds of me becoming POTUS and the odds of me being kicked in the nuts by Wil Wheaton. :P
    I need a beer.

  • drasymdrasym Member Posts: 36 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    odds of winner are easy to figure

    #of tiimes you enter divided by total number of entries.

    for me its 1/some number that no one will know until contest closes.


    But hey OP.. thanks for posting the comment about 'multiple accounts' and reducing my odds further as those few less than honest players that haven't already rush out to make new accounts for new entries.
  • dalolorndalolorn Member Posts: 3,655 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    drasym wrote: »
    odds of winner are easy to figure

    #of tiimes you enter divided by total number of entries.

    for me its 1/some number that no one will know until contest closes.


    But hey OP.. thanks for posting the comment about 'multiple accounts' and reducing my odds further as those few less than honest players that haven't already rush out to make new accounts for new entries.

    Based on the current date and entry count, the numbers are between 6000 and 7000 for the forums and 3000 and 4000 for Steam. And for the record, my younger sister's account was already there - it's just that she doesn't particularly care about the prize, so I get it if she wins. :D

    Infinite possibilities have implications that could not be completely understood if you turned this entire universe into a giant supercomputer.p3OEBPD6HU3QI.jpg
  • pwecaptainsmirkpwecaptainsmirk Member Posts: 1,167 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Current Count:

    Forums = 1/3,130

    Faecbook = 1/3,645+

    Twitter = 1/1k+

    Instagram = 1/1k+

    Steam = 1/1,889

    YouTube = 1/861

    Good luck everyone :)

    ~CaptainSmirk
  • shadowwraith77shadowwraith77 Member Posts: 6,395 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Current Count:

    Forums = 1/3,130

    Faecbook = 1/3,645+

    Twitter = 1/1k+

    Instagram = 1/1k+

    Steam = 1/1,889

    YouTube = 1/861

    Good luck everyone :)

    ~CaptainSmirk

    Lol, really, youtube as well!
    tumblr_nq9ec3BSAy1qj6sk2o2_500_zpspkqw0mmk.gif


    Praetor of the -RTS- Romulan Tal Shiar fleet!

  • jonathanlonehawkjonathanlonehawk Member Posts: 674 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    The odds for me? I think they fall somewhere between the odds of me becoming POTUS and the odds of me being kicked in the nuts by Wil Wheaton. :P

    I have friends that know Wil, if you happen to come to Los Angeles I can make ONE of those happen... :D
    Formerly Known as Protector from June 2008 to June 20, 2012
    STOSIG.png
    Please enable us to buy a token with Zen to faction change a 25th Century FED to a TOS FED.
  • tuskin67tuskin67 Member Posts: 1,097 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Current Count:

    Forums = 1/3,130

    Faecbook = 1/3,645+

    Twitter = 1/1k+

    Instagram = 1/1k+

    Steam = 1/1,889

    YouTube = 1/861

    Good luck everyone :)

    ~CaptainSmirk

    Youtube? Is there a specific video? I'm guessing the newest one?
  • futurepastnowfuturepastnow Member Posts: 3,660 Arc User
    edited October 2014
    Sigh. Youtube still won't let me post comments without making a G+ account attaching my real name to them.
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