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Odds on the Promo gamble boxes?

lexusk19lexusk19 Member Posts: 1,430 Arc User
I want a D7 Temporal Battlecruiser, but I cant find anyone who is selling one in game. So I either have to buy the disco one, or gamble for the one I want. So does anyone know the odds of the promo boxes? I could afford roughly to buy 80. Maybe a little more with the Zen bonus.
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Comments

  • lexusk19lexusk19 Member Posts: 1,430 Arc User
    edited July 2019
    Nvm, found my answer on Reddit, not gonna waste my money... MODS if you read this, please close thread.

    "You can calculate the cumulative probability of getting a desired item from a lockbox with the following formula: 1-(1-p)n. Where P is the probability of the event and N is the number of attempts. So, assuming that the odds of getting a ship from a single R&D pack is 1%, After opening 100 lockboxes you have a ~63.4% chance of getting the desired ship. After opening 1000 R&D packs you have a 99.9957% chance of getting a ship. 3506 packs are required to get 100% chance of a ship."
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  • seaofsorrowsseaofsorrows Member Posts: 10,919 Arc User
    azrael605 wrote: »
    my odds of getting 1 are 100% with no money spent

    Ditto.

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  • baddmoonrizinbaddmoonrizin Member Posts: 11,441 Community Moderator
    Closed by request of OP. /Thread
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