How lucky u open cards pack? compared with average chance and cost

In pwcn forum, many ppl share how lucky or unluckys from cards pack

so I try to initial a post fot that and share ur lucky or unlucky

also, i will give estimation for how expansive for card (if something wrong, plz let me know) so that ppl can know what stage their card is in and need how many coins or gold for finished their card.

But this is average cost. u may spend more or less than average cost , that up to ur lucky.

b:chuckle

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here is an appoximation, that each position is the same chance. There are some slight difference in fact. so we can estimate average card(same class) need for the position

1 position 1
2 position 1+6/5=2.2
3 position 1+6/5+6/4=3.7
4 position 1+6/5+6/4+6/3=5.7
5 position 1+6/5+6/4+6/3+6/2=8.7
6 position 1+6/5+6/4+6/3+6/2+6=14.7

set 1 FS untradable coins=0.25m (RT server market buying price by C pack)

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C-A chance 13.3%, 20coins=5m

1A=1/13.3%=7.5 packs(days)=37.5m

full A=5A+1free(from quest)=37.5packs(days)=187.5m

full A+full position=13.7A+1free=102.8 packs(days)=513.8m

A full exp=450exp=45days(FS)=225m (each A , averagely get 8.05 exp from B and C, too little so ignore those exp)

full A+full position+full exp=102.8 days+45X6days=372.8 days=1452.8m




conclusion:
basically and averagely, doing daily FS one year can get full A+full position+full exp

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B-S chance 2.08%, 10coins=2.5m set buying 1 gold =2.3m (RT server price)

1S=1/2.08%=48 packs=24days=5m*24+8g*24*2.3m=561.6m

full S=5S+1free=120days=2808m

full S+full position=13.7S+1free=328.8days=7693.9m

S full exp=1456exp=145.6days(FS)=728m ( each S, averagly get 103.8 exp from B and A, too little so ignore those exp)

full S+full position+full exp=328.8days+145.6*6days=1202.4days=12062m


conclusion:

basically and averagely, for full S+full position+full exp, u need

daily FS 11months+2630.4golds+4368m(for exp)

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C-S chance 1.04% 4gold

1S=1/1.04%=96.2 packs=385golds

full S=5S+1free=1925golds

full S+full position=13.7S+1free=5274.5golds

full S+full position+full exp=5274.5golds+4368m



conclusion

avragely, if charge money for full S+full postion+full exp, need about 7173.6golds=5904.2$ (consider 15% charge bonus)

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Nuema portal set

not consider awakend, only open C-S pack by CS

1st=52/6=8.7S
2nd=52/6+52/5=19S
3rd=52/6+52/5+52/4=32S
4th=52/6+52/5+52/4+52/3=49.4S
5th=52/6+52/5+52/4+52/3+52/2=75.4S
6th=52/6+52/5+52/4+52/3+52/2+52=127.4S

full set=126.4S+1free=48664 golds

Conclusion

If only CS, Nuema portal set averagely need 40053$ (exp feeding cost can be ignored cuz too little in total cost)

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now, just show how many packs u open and get how many A or S. Compare with average chance, u will know how lucky or unlucky ur.

here is my case

open 900 golds C-S packs(225packs) get (5S+6A) ( very lucky )
about 1 months B-S packs get (1S+3A) ( normal )
free from quest(1S+1A)

position: 4 positions by 7S ( normal )