Q: The % rate of Brilliant Plumes.

Xiaoqin - Lost City
Xiaoqin - Lost City Posts: 36 Arc User
edited October 2009 in General Discussion
Does anyone know the % rate of getting Brilliant Plumes from a ToT box?
b:thanks
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Post edited by Xiaoqin - Lost City on

Comments

  • FooFooKity - Heavens Tear
    FooFooKity - Heavens Tear Posts: 164 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    best bet for % is to check pwdatabase its there somewhere just gotta find it
  • Vitenka - Dreamweaver
    Vitenka - Dreamweaver Posts: 4,125 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    With all of these events, the chances of getting anything other than trash have been <10%
    The chances of getting a particular item is <1%

    And the chances of getting the one shining really good thing (midnight horse, the superior aerogear) will be <0.1%

    Basically, unless you think you can resell the gems (and with anniversary boxes giving better ones, good luck with that) you're going to need to spend a lot of cash to get the good items.
  • Escorian - Dreamweaver
    Escorian - Dreamweaver Posts: 2,802 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    Vitenka - Dreamweaver wrote: »
    With all of these events, the chances of getting anything other than trash have been <10%
    The chances of getting a particular item is <1%

    And the chances of getting the one shining really good thing (midnight horse, the superior aerogear) will be <0.1%

    Basically, unless you think you can resell the gems (and with anniversary boxes giving better ones, good luck with that) you're going to need to spend a lot of cash to get the good items.

    the midnight is a .2% and the aerogear is .1%
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    ty Nowitsawn

    Everything has its beginnings, but it doesn't start at one. It starts long before that... The world is born From zero. The moment zero becomes one is the moment the world springs to life. One becomes 2. 2 becomes 10. 10 becomes 100. taking it all back to one solves nothing. so long as zero remains... One.. Will eventually grow to 100 again.
  • TcheQNorris - Harshlands
    TcheQNorris - Harshlands Posts: 10 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    http://www.pwdatabase.com/pwi/quest/17048
  • Jolin - Dreamweaver
    Jolin - Dreamweaver Posts: 69 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    hi, if u check pwi database right, they onli have the data on Halloween gift box, but not ToT.
    I dont know the exact probability of getting plumes also, but i was lucky and got mine on the 15th box onli. but after that i spent another over 10mil and got 100 over boxes of **** until my inventory cant hold anymore.

    But if u look at just the data on halloween goft box, the chance of getting areogears like nakir, israfel and daedelus is onli 0.1%. I think the chances of getting plumes is a lot lower than that.

    Even if u take 0.1% (thats 0.3% for 3 types of aerogears), to have a 50% chance of getting at least 1 aerogear, u need to buy about x ToT boxes where:
    1-[(0.003)^0](0.997)^x = 0.5
    x is about 231, and this means u need to spend about 23 mil and there is still 50% chance u get all **** from it.
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  • Mayliina - Sanctuary
    Mayliina - Sanctuary Posts: 6 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    Or.....

    You could not do math and hope for the best!
  • Mandey - Dreamweaver
    Mandey - Dreamweaver Posts: 143 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    TcheQNorris - Harshlands wrote: »
    http://www.pwdatabase.com/pwi/quest/17048

    I did a search for the Trick or Treat boxes and database doesnt have those listed
    51 lvls in Calamity, **** whomever actually pressed the kick button on me, while I was at work no less, you coward.
  • MagicHamsta - Lost City
    MagicHamsta - Lost City Posts: 10,466 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    Mayliina - Sanctuary wrote: »
    Or.....

    You could not do math and hope for the best!

    oh noes~! teh algeblah confooses you too? Also let's just leave it that the chance is very very slim. (>.<)'
    Mathematically you better off saving your $$ and buying it off someone. but there always be the chance you might get it. (O.o)
    128794130419122574.jpg
    darthpanda16: Firefox crashed on me. Aryannamage: I don't think I am a GM that would be new.
    Hawk:Do this. closing thread
    frankieraye: I'll see if we can replace the woman with a stick figure and the tiger fangs with marshmallows.//Issues like these need to get escalated quickly to minimize the damage.
    Kantorek: Yeah.. you should try it. It's awesome.
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    Waiting for...Hamster Packs!
    58% chance to get tokens
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    1% chance to get ban hamstered with the message "Hamsters United!"
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  • Nelanther - Lost City
    Nelanther - Lost City Posts: 83 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    This math might be easier..

    .3% is also 1 in 333

    333 x 100k is 33mil

    So you can expect to spend 33 mil per mount.
  • XXSairaXx - Dreamweaver
    XXSairaXx - Dreamweaver Posts: 194 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    I see all this math going on..
    Goodness is my head hurting.

    33mil? I got my plumes on the third box. Ha ha, I'm scared to play anymore cause I know I won't get anything else good.
    That, and I'm too poor to go out spending my money like that. XD
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  • Sashera - Sanctuary
    Sashera - Sanctuary Posts: 136 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    I wish I was that lucky... is it too much to ask for one set of brilliant plumes? b:surrender
    there not even for me...
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  • Jolin - Dreamweaver
    Jolin - Dreamweaver Posts: 69 Arc User
    edited October 2009
    haha yea, but if every1 gets a plume then plume will not worth that much anymore b:chuckle
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