listed on 04Jun21 11:02:22 GMT 5000 zen bought on 20Apr22 15:33:32 GMT 610 zen 20Apr22 16:06:07 GMT 1100 zen 20Apr22 16:15:12 GMT 1000 zen 20Apr22 16:27:21 GMT 1100 zen 20Apr22 16:56:29 GMT 1190 zen
I got my 5000 zen order from 21 june 2021. Yesterday, 29 may 2022.
“He raised his staff. There was a roll of thunder. The sunlight was blotted out from the eastern windows; the whole hall became suddenly dark as night. The fire faded to sullen embers. Only Gandalf could be seen, standing white and tall before the blackened hearth.” ― J.R.R. Tolkien, The Two Towers
this was a heavy couple of weeks last year. still reeling from the payout on those bonding stones i reckon. wow so my order on the 26th has a good week or two to go lol... ouch. gotta assume there are lot more like me waiting to post for 5k more asap
its funny... when i posted that almost a year ago the backlog was much higher than it is now. didnt i see it as high ss like 72m? or 67 maybe idk.... it was a solid 10% h8gher than now. buyers just arent there
Queue length is down to 60.8M now, it seems to be falling slowly. That is some positive new at least.
However, I suspect much of the reason for that is that a lot of the owners of the posts in the queue have left the game, so they do not renew their postings when it comes through. Queue length probably is falling for the wrong reason.
To be brutally honest(and we might end up there): For me it is not a huge crisis until queue wait time hits two years. I need two rounds of 5000 Zen a year to keep my VIP alive. Zen beyond that is just making things cheaper or earning AD.
I got my 5000 zen order from 21 june 2021. Yesterday, 29 may 2022.
So waittime is still rising dramatically. Sigh.
We need to arrange a huge party when it crosses 1 year
There is (and there has always been) a Jubilee effect on the Zax. Even when the Zax was still breathing between backlog and undercap, around may/mid-may, roughly 1 month before the event, Zen's flow into the Zax really significantly slow down. And we are pretty close to the Jubilee.
Is the "Jubilee near" effect the most impactful thing on the waiting time tendancy shifting ? Quite unlikely for 2022 Jubilee. The shift in behaviour happened roughly at the end of february 2022, which seems to soon for that (but would be congruent with an aftermath of mod22 big changes on enchantements). But the shift happened around purchase order made in may 2021, so is there also an after effect of Jubilee 2021 ?
its funny... when i posted that almost a year ago the backlog was much higher than it is now. didnt i see it as high ss like 72m? or 67 maybe idk.... it was a solid 10% h8gher than now. buyers just arent there
Highest I have recorded was 70.5M backlog on June 15th 2021 (but I only took data of that once every 15 days since july 2020 ^^). We are now dealing with purchase orders made after the backlog's highest point.
However, I suspect much of the reason for that is that a lot of the owners of the posts in the queue have left the game, so they do not renew their postings when it comes through. Queue length probably is falling for the wrong reason.
making a new spreadsheet would be fun... ive been keeping some notes for a while anyhow. tracking the backlog is important too. tracking the backlog alongside important events.... like the bonding stone buyback. does anyone have any data on that? i havent looked again but i feel like the old sheet didnt cover it
i totally agree, the backlog is going down for the wrong reasons. people are leaving the game. Also only some are gonna use zax in the first place for the reasons. unless theyre in a hurry for their ad. ... i digress
itd be fun to see what the backlog is doing now in response to the things that were happening at the time of the current payout, back when they were posted.
6/7/2022 Purchased 1810 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 1000 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 3 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 500 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 1100 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 75 for 750 each 6/7/2022 Purchased 12 for 750 each
347 days.
Anyway, next listings 8/11/2021, 8/31/2021, 9/24/2021 and 11/5/2021.
making a new spreadsheet would be fun... ive been keeping some notes for a while anyhow. tracking the backlog is important too. tracking the backlog alongside important events.... like the bonding stone buyback. does anyone have any data on that? i havent looked again but i feel like the old sheet didnt cover it
i totally agree, the backlog is going down for the wrong reasons. people are leaving the game. Also only some are gonna use zax in the first place for the reasons. unless theyre in a hurry for their ad. ... i digress
itd be fun to see what the backlog is doing now in response to the things that were happening at the time of the current payout, back when they were posted.
Dates are in dd/mm/yy format on the graph ('cauz i'm french) Bonding stones is very visible on both lines (after 22/01/21).
nice tchefi. yup nearly a year now. my 6-26-21 paid sometime this morning on 6-9-22
there are clearly a lot of people still using zax to get quick ad. i watched it drop over 150k yesterday...
if we make it over this hump the waits could drop again.... im being optimistic i know
Max line was in July last year before eclipse lion was on bazaar and bard launched and hit just over 72 mil for 1-2 days, but was at 71 mil for at least a week as i remember. It's now at 60.1 mil, and looks on avg 6 mil per month is being exchanged, or has been this last year. Once it gets over the hump, it should drop back to 10 months, which is still not that great, but at least it didnt keep going past 72 mil.
Comments
04Jun21 11:02:22 GMT 5000 zen
bought on
20Apr22 15:33:32 GMT 610 zen
20Apr22 16:06:07 GMT 1100 zen
20Apr22 16:15:12 GMT 1000 zen
20Apr22 16:27:21 GMT 1100 zen
20Apr22 16:56:29 GMT 1190 zen
Changed the +0.8 to +0.83. Maybe I will have fewer corrections and adjustments next month.
PSN Zen AD Exchange - Forecasting Spreadsheet
recieved 04/22/22 between 3-4:00 AM EST
Received: April 23, 2022
Duration: 322 days
Received April 24th 2022.
PSN Zen AD Exchange - Forecasting Spreadsheet
Posted June 8th, 2021
Filled April 26, 2022
Champions Online Advanced Forum Search
Posted June 11 2021
Filled May 2 2022
Posted June 12 2021
Filled May 4 2022
Guild Leader
Neverwinter SOLO Alliance
Posted on June 14 2021
Filled May 8 2022
PANIC!
Yesterday, 29 may 2022.
― J.R.R. Tolkien, The Two Towers
We need to arrange a huge party when it crosses 1 year
However, I suspect much of the reason for that is that a lot of the owners of the posts in the queue have left the game, so they do not renew their postings when it comes through. Queue length probably is falling for the wrong reason.
To be brutally honest(and we might end up there): For me it is not a huge crisis until queue wait time hits two years. I need two rounds of 5000 Zen a year to keep my VIP alive. Zen beyond that is just making things cheaper or earning AD.
Is the "Jubilee near" effect the most impactful thing on the waiting time tendancy shifting ? Quite unlikely for 2022 Jubilee. The shift in behaviour happened roughly at the end of february 2022, which seems to soon for that (but would be congruent with an aftermath of mod22 big changes on enchantements).
But the shift happened around purchase order made in may 2021, so is there also an after effect of Jubilee 2021 ?
Highest I have recorded was 70.5M backlog on June 15th 2021 (but I only took data of that once every 15 days since july 2020 ^^).
We are now dealing with purchase orders made after the backlog's highest point. Completely agree with that.
Maybe it's time for a new graph
i totally agree, the backlog is going down for the wrong reasons. people are leaving the game. Also only some are gonna use zax in the first place for the reasons. unless theyre in a hurry for their ad. ... i digress
itd be fun to see what the backlog is doing now in response to the things that were happening at the time of the current payout, back when they were posted.
filled 6/5/2022
2K
6/7/2022 Purchased 1810 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 1000 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 3 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 500 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 100 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 1100 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 75 for 750 each
6/7/2022 Purchased 12 for 750 each
347 days.
Anyway, next listings 8/11/2021, 8/31/2021, 9/24/2021 and 11/5/2021.
Bonding stones is very visible on both lines (after 22/01/21).
Almost one year huh.
yup nearly a year now.
my 6-26-21 paid sometime this morning on 6-9-22
there are clearly a lot of people still using zax to get quick ad. i watched it drop over 150k yesterday...
if we make it over this hump the waits could drop again.... im being optimistic i know
My best wishes for you.
PSN Zen AD Exchange - Forecasting Spreadsheet
15K Zen
dd/mm/yyyy
Posted 01.07.2021
Received 13.06.2022