test content
What is the Arc Client?
Install Arc

Rank 3 crafting chances

talealocktalealock Member, Neverwinter Beta Users Posts: 40
edited May 2013 in PvE Discussion
soo. I spent worked my *** off to get all epic tools and have been trying to make rank 3 shirts for days. I have four epic tools in and even an epic tailor (to make it faster) I thought I would at least be able to equal out my investment but here is the issue...

9 shirts made all rank 2. All of them. not a single rank 3 shirt, and the price of dragon eggs means I make little to nothing off of them. Don't you think that given the difficulty of obtaining all epic tools it should have a little higher chances? maybe have the tools 48% each instead of 40%? I know rng is rng but this is more than disheartening.
Post edited by talealock on

Comments

  • argonacargonac Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    The chance to make 9 rank 2 shirts in a row is:
    (20% chance rank 3, 80% chance rank 2)
    0.8^9 = 0.134. In other words 13%. Perfectly feasible still. I'd say you have to keep trying.
  • slyteshslytesh Member, Neverwinter Beta Users, Neverwinter Guardian Users Posts: 20 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    Huh, it's 60% chance at rank 3 with 4x purple tools.

    But I have to agree, maybe I'm just unlucky, but I get the hunch shirts are bugged, I get waaaaaaaaay more gemmed pants as opposed to gemmed shirts. TR items btw.
  • talealocktalealock Member, Neverwinter Beta Users Posts: 40
    edited May 2013
    yeah I have a 60% chance to make rank 3s just made two more shirts both rank 2. thats 11. I'm about to just sell off my tools and give up :(
  • argonacargonac Member Posts: 0 Arc User
    edited May 2013
    Oops, I assumed 3 tools which was wrong. With 60/40 chances, the chance to make 9 or 11 in a row is:
    .4^9 = 0.00026 or 0.026%
    .4^11 = 0.000042 or 0.0042%

    Looks like there is indeed something fishy going on around here.
Sign In or Register to comment.