% for 1,2,3 addons

FaceRolI - Sanctuary
FaceRolI - Sanctuary Posts: 450 Arc User
edited February 2013 in The Crafting Nook
Hi, I wanted to calc the % for -18 rings/neck, though I know it is insanely small and I will never make it D: I would also like to calc -12 and stuff but theres some info I need that I could not find so if anyone knows I would appreciate it.

PWD already lists % of crafting white purple and gold items.

I would like to know what are the % of getting says 1, 2, or 3 add-ons for this and this and the necklace equiavlents.

tyvm b:thanks
full r999 91% chan wizzy b:kiss

Current build: pwcalc.com/bf1f46790766e26d
LuLz: pwcalc.com/20f3fa96ab3c4dc0
Post edited by FaceRolI - Sanctuary on

Comments

  • Mooooooooo - Lost City
    Mooooooooo - Lost City Posts: 377 Arc User
    edited January 2013
    Hi, I wanted to calc the % for -18 rings/neck, though I know it is insanely small and I will never make it D: I would also like to calc -12 and stuff but theres some info I need that I could not find so if anyone knows I would appreciate it.

    PWD already lists % of crafting white purple and gold items.

    I would like to know what are the % of getting says 1, 2, or 3 add-ons for this and this and the necklace equiavlents.

    tyvm b:thanks

    18% is probably 1 out of 15-30million.
    youtube channel: youtube.com/user/chezedude
  • FaceRolI - Sanctuary
    FaceRolI - Sanctuary Posts: 450 Arc User
    edited January 2013
    wanna estimate -12? brain does </3 probability
    full r999 91% chan wizzy b:kiss

    Current build: pwcalc.com/bf1f46790766e26d
    LuLz: pwcalc.com/20f3fa96ab3c4dc0
  • FaceRolI - Sanctuary
    FaceRolI - Sanctuary Posts: 450 Arc User
    edited January 2013
    Assumptions (damn i should pay more attn wen i craft rings instead of just u.u decomp them)

    white has 1 stats 70% of the time 2 stats 20% and 3 stats 10%
    purple is 2 stats 70% of the time and 3 stats 30%.

    I got .00036% chance to craft a -12 or better ring which is only ~ 1/2800. pretty sure my assumptions must be very very off and that I double counted (calc % of getting -6,-6, x then counted odds of getting -6,-6,-3 so some double counting)

    cause 2800 rings is not that many, have made way more.
    full r999 91% chan wizzy b:kiss

    Current build: pwcalc.com/bf1f46790766e26d
    LuLz: pwcalc.com/20f3fa96ab3c4dc0
  • FaceRolI - Sanctuary
    FaceRolI - Sanctuary Posts: 450 Arc User
    edited February 2013
    http://tinyurl.com/bag2cf9

    since no1 seems to know, im going to start keeping track of # of ring stats when I do craft. will update this periodically (currently waitin for 2x again before getting more mats).

    if you record your own data and would like to contribute/add post here or request permission. I will probably look at this on a monthly/seasonal basis.

    also please let me know if anything wrong w/ google spreadsheet, was my first time making one n_n
    full r999 91% chan wizzy b:kiss

    Current build: pwcalc.com/bf1f46790766e26d
    LuLz: pwcalc.com/20f3fa96ab3c4dc0
  • Asterelle - Sanctuary_1381265973
    Asterelle - Sanctuary_1381265973 Posts: 7,881 Arc User
    edited February 2013
    Hi, I wanted to calc the % for -18 rings/neck, though I know it is insanely small and I will never make it D: I would also like to calc -12 and stuff but theres some info I need that I could not find so if anyone knows I would appreciate it.

    PWD already lists % of crafting white purple and gold items.

    I would like to know what are the % of getting says 1, 2, or 3 add-ons for this and this and the necklace equiavlents.

    tyvm b:thanks

    http://www.pwdatabase.com/pwi/items/20391 is
    0: 0%
    1: 70%
    2: 22.5%
    3: 7.5%

    http://www.pwdatabase.com/pwi/items/20392 is
    0: 0%
    1: 0%
    2: 65%
    3: 35%

    http://www.pwdatabase.com/pwi/items/20393 is
    0: 0%
    1: 0%
    2: 0%
    3: 100%

    Necklaces are the same as above.

    Total chance of -18% ring would be..
    (.9*.075*.0032^3 + .097*.35*.0021^3 +.003*.0029^3) = 2.59941795e-9 = 1 in 384,701,505
    by comparison a 100/100 genie is 1 in 16,310,377 so the -18% ring is like making 20 100/100 genies

    for necklace it is 1 in 61,135,552 which is like 6 times easier... only 3 and half 100/100 genies... or 1,000 scrolls of tome
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
    Refining Simulator - aster.ohmydays.net/pw/refiningsimulator.html (don't use IE)
    Genie Calculator - aster.ohmydays.net/pw/geniecalculator.html - (don't use IE)
    Socket Calculator - aster.ohmydays.net/pw/socketcalculator.html
  • FaceRolI - Sanctuary
    FaceRolI - Sanctuary Posts: 450 Arc User
    edited February 2013
    Total chance of -18% ring would be..

    stuff

    or 1,000 scrolls of tome

    no problem already did that one and out of 3 packs b:cool

    ty
    full r999 91% chan wizzy b:kiss

    Current build: pwcalc.com/bf1f46790766e26d
    LuLz: pwcalc.com/20f3fa96ab3c4dc0
  • MageFizban - Lost City
    MageFizban - Lost City Posts: 1,158 Arc User
    edited February 2013
    no problem already did that one and out of 3 packs b:cool

    ty

    Now do it 999 times more and you have your ring
  • Facerolled - Raging Tide
    Facerolled - Raging Tide Posts: 334 Arc User
    edited February 2013
    Probability genius!
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
    boogiepanda | Demon Archer || Facerolled | Demon Wizard

    tinyurl.com/PWIArcherWizardPvP